It’s amazing what civil unrest accomplished in China.

- Mark

Sent from my Fuel Cell powered iPhone

> On May 24, 2021, at 3:14 PM, EVDL Administrator via EV <[email protected]> 
> wrote:
> 
> On 24 May 2021 at 11:26, Larry Gales via EV wrote:
> 
>> The smaller you make a gas vehicle, the uglier, noisier, dirtier, they
>> become . In addition, they are proportionally less efficient.  So small gas
>> vehicles are generally a bad idea: they are responsible for much of the
>> horrific pollution you see in much of asia.
> 
> This is true in practice, but I don't think it's inherent to their size.  
> They COULD be clean and quiet, even with ICEVs.  However, that's usually not 
> required by law, so the manufacturers don't bother.  
> 
> From what I've read, the engines usually fitted are of crude design, with 
> little or no emission control.  I'd guess air cooled with poppet or pushrod 
> valves, simple carburetors, and mechanical ignition systems.  I know that a 
> fair number of Tuktuks are powered by two-stroke engines.  Some, I think, 
> are Diesel. They're gross polluters, and noisy to boot.
> 
> The reason that EV is better for these uses is the same reason that it's 
> better for all road transportation.  The only difference is that normal
> passenger ICEVs have evolved significantly and have mandated emission 
> controls, so the improvement for them isn't quite as dramatic.
> 
>> Right now, the only type of micro electric vehicle that is surging in
>> a major way, is the electric bike. But I believe that NEVs should also
>> become a major part of the mix.  
> 
> E-bikes were the first EV sucess story of our time, from about the 1990s.  
> 
> IMO the key to that success is that they're cheap.  That's because they sell 
> in large volumes in Asia, particularly China.  Economy of scale, 
> competition, and cheap sweatshop labor have driven the price down to where 
> you can get an fairly decent E-bike for well under $1k.
> 
> E-bikes are so cheap that for many middle income folks they can almost be an 
> impulse purchase.  It's a hobby or fun weekend vehicle at almost a toy 
> price.  If you're the right kind of person, it can even be a commuter.
> 
> But the most important factor is that E-bike cost is in line with their
> utility.  Yeah, that $700 E-bike does a lot less than a car, but it costs 
> about 1/30 as much as an "entry level" car.
> 
> An NEV also does less than a car, but more than an E-bike.  For one thing, 
> it keeps you dry!  (Or should.)  You should be able to sell one if you price 
> it in line with its level of utility.  
> 
> And that's a problem.  I can tell you that in the early 2000s, NEVs priced 
> at (IIRC) $7-10k didn't sell in significant numbers.  Part of that may be 
> because they looked like (and were) glorified golf cars.  But I think that a 
> big reason is that they were just too close to the price of low-end ICEVs, 
> while being far less practical and comfortable.
> 
> Still true today.  Right now in France you can get a basic 2-seat 5hp 
> Renault Twizy EV (doors optional!) that will go 28mph.  It costs just over 
> 10k euros.  Or you can buy a 4-seat Twingo ICEV for 13.5k euros, close the 
> (standard) doors, and take it up to 100mph, if you're brave enough. 
> 
> You know who in France buys a Twizy instead of a Twingo?  People who've lost 
> their driving licenses from drunk driving, because in France you can drive a 
> 28mph car without a driving license.  (Really.)  
> 
> It's not just perception of value.  An NEV *is* low valiue compared to the 
> cheapest ICEV.  It only carries 2 people and minimal cargo.  You can't take 
> it on most roads.  To get across town without the innerbelt, you have to 
> pull out the map and plot a course that here in the Midwest often goes 
> through rough neighborhoods - at 25 mph.  
> 
> So if an NEV is going to have anything close to the success that E-bikes 
> have had, it has to be cheap, in line with its value as transportation.
> 
> How cheap?  I don't know.  You'd have to study the market, survey vehicle 
> buyers.  But a wild, irresponsible guess might be around $5k, maybe $7k.
> 
> David Roden, EVDL moderator & general lackey
> 
> To reach me, don't reply to this message; I won't get it.  Use my 
> offlist address here : http://evdl.org/help/index.html#supt
> 
> = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = 
>     I think [Rio de Janeiro mayor Marcelo] Crivella will be 
>     remembered as a mayor to be forgotten.
> 
>                                     -- Alvaro Costa e Silva
> = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = 
> 
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