The calculation was for 50 bulbs 5 hours a day.  In my house, I leave 3
basement lights, and one shop light on all the time (hard to get to the
switches). And outdoors, there are 4 lights on dawn-to dusk (say 10
hours).

So, do the math.  The 4 bulbs on 24/7 are the same as 19  bulbs for 5 h
ours.  The 4 lights on for 10 hours a day are equivalent to another 8 bulbs
in my case of 5 hours.  So you see, already there are 28 of the 50 bulbs.
The other 22 bulbs lncludes the 5 in the dining room fixture, 5 in the
kitchen.  2 each in 2 bathrooms (4 total) and 2 in each bedroom (8 total)
and there is the 50, not counting at least 6 more bulbs scattered around
the house that are not on.  So the 50 bulbs I used seems reasonable.

With three teenagers, all the lights are on from dusk to around midnight.
About a third are 100W, about a third are 75 and about a third are 60.  I
stand by the average of 75W and that saves about 60W each when replaced
with a 9W LED.

I stand by my numbers.

Bob

se 8 lights alone are worth   In 24 hours, that is the same as

On Fri, Jul 27, 2018 at 1:37 PM, Matt Awesome via EV <ev@lists.evdl.org>
wrote:

> > I stand by my numbers when corrected to a house that leaves most of their
> > lights on all evening and assuming averqaeg 75 Watt incandescent bulbs
> > originally..
>
> Which is some extreme outlier family who's electrical usage is
> literally 10x the average home.
>
> Ya gotta think, the crossover between people who use 10x the national
> average of electricity, as much energy as the rest of their entire
> block, and people who drive EVs, would drive EVs, or would even care
> about the monetary savings... is probably exactly zero.
>
> So, I'm not sure how much value there is in such an extreme off-case.
>
> https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261916305360
>
> This has some datasets in Table 3 for hours of lights on in 3 different
> rooms.
>
> The mean for a living room is 7.15 with a standard deviation of 4.32.
> To find someone with not even 3x that (20), you're already looking at
> 1 household out of 1000. Let alone 10x that.
>
> I can't actually find a calculator that'll give me the odds for 71.5
> hours, it's so extraordinarily rare. It's like, one person per state,
> maybe.
>
> > But he equally exaggerated errors.
>
> I don't see that you showed that I did.
>
>  - You're claiming the average bulb in a house is 75W, which is even
> more ridiculous than 60w. Average bulb wattage for incandescents is
> probably 45, maybe 50 watts. I don't think that's an exaggerated claim
> to say you're not saving 100%, you're only saving 80%, which is about
> what I used in my math.
>
>  - I said two vehicles per family. Which is accurate. You said
> swapping bulbs provides the same amount of power needed to charge an
> EV the American average. Okay, true on a technicality but you're
> mixing variables. You're looking at a household average to find the
> savings, and then not using a household average of miles (only an
> individual average of miles). Okay, fine.
>
> Worst case I'm off by a factor of 2 for counting a second vehicle.
> You're off by a factor of 10-15.
>
> You said "Swapping out the average American home from Incandescent
> bulbs to LEDs" but want to amend that to "a house that leaves most of
> their lights on all evening" which is really "a house with also nearly
> double the average bulb wattage".... which is off, in terms of
> frequency, by a factor of somewhere in the range of millions to tens
> of millions relative to the actual "average" household's lighting
> requirements.
>
> That's like saying "The average household switching from a lawnmower
> to a pair of nail clippers to mow their lawn will save time!", if by
> "average household" you mean "Those with only 10 blades of grass or
> fewer", which is functionally no one.
>
> ...
>
> I know this seems like I'm being pedantic, but, absurd, extreme
> arguments presented from an energy conservation side are what people
> use to ridicule, mock, and reject making changes in their lives or in
> the policies of government. It's literally as silly as telling people
> to go cut their lawn with nail clippers because it's faster. No, it's
> not, and saying things like that gets genuine problems laughed at.
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