There are a few factors which contribute to the enhanced incentive making sense in Ontario. (Unlike the U.S., there is no federal incentive for EV purchase in Canada.)

Ontario (and more recently the new Canadian federal government) have embraced climate change mitigation - notably signalling changes at the COP 21 gathering in autumn 2015.

Transportation is the single largest greenhouse gas emissions sector in Ontario today. There is also the intra-Canada connection to bitumen extraction in the tar sands as feedstock for making gasoline and diesel fuel (aka 'the dirtiest oil in the world').

Ontario has a surplus of electrical generation capacity overnight. Some nights it has to pay other jurisdictions to take power off the Ontario grid rather than shutting down one of its nuclear generators.

Ontario has a pretty good story to tell on greening their grid. There is no longer any coal-fired generation. Natural gas generation is falling as wind, solar and biomass-fueled generation is growing. (Up to 13% of total generation was from wind power earlier this week at peak demand periods.) Ontario has large hydro reservoirs and generating capacity to act as storage to support intermittent renewable sources, and is now investing in battery and flywheel storage projects. (Neighbouring Quebec has massive hydro generation, and a growing wind generation capacity, and routinely exports electricity to the U.S. north-east.)

Ontario is starting a project to install DCQC / Level 3 charging stations across the province to support inter-urban EV travel. Southern and eastern Ontario networks hould be in place by autumn 2017. (Ontario is fairly large - bigger than Texas, a bit smaller than Alaska in total area, so installing province-wide infrastructure takes some time.) In part, this fills a gap caused by Nissan not installing EVSEs in Ontario the way they have in the U.S.

Block heater plugs are still a regular feature on the Ontario landscape, for allowing ICE engines to start during the colder days of the winter. Think of this as a ubiquitous, pre-existing Level 1 EVSE network.

While Ontario was the only province/state to put money into the GM / Chrysler bailouts a few years ago, these automakers have not returned the love since, shifting production to Mexico and out of Ontario.

Ontario has announced a target of 5% of new light vehicle sales being plug-in vehicles by 2020. With low oil prices, they are not on track to get there. However, as gasoline prices have not fallen in step with oil prices, and with carbon taxes coming (provincially, and possibly federally), that pricing dynamic may change dramatically in the near future.

It's a big shift for the province which effectively outlawed NEVs/LSVs a few years ago, and was a laggard in allowing e-bikes on its roads.

Now, if Ontario can find an automaker to start building EVs in Ontario using all the plant capacity idled by the major automakers in the past decade (hello Toyota - which built the new RAV-4 EV here, or Renault-Nissan, or BYD) or land a Tesla battery gigafactory - there are lithium mines in neighbouring Quebec), things could really come together.

--
Darryl McMahon
Freelance Project Manager (and Ontario-based EV advocate)


On 3/2/2016 4:03 PM, via EV wrote:
Message: 4
Date: Wed, 2 Mar 2016 01:12:33 -0800 (PST)
From: brucedp5 via EV<[email protected]>
To:[email protected]
Subject: [EVDL] EVLN: Unbalanced Bolt EV sales-demographics in Canada
Message-ID:<[email protected]>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8



'Ontario.ca is now Canada?s California'

% Depending on curency exchange rates when the GM Bolt EV goes on sale, it
may end up cheaper for U.S. Amercians to buy it in Canada, or Canadians to
buy it in the U.S. %

http://insideevs.com/chevrolet-bolt-ev-looks-to-be-priced-north-of-46500-in-canada-rebates-up-to-14000-regionally/
Chevrolet Bolt EV Looks To Be Priced North Of $46,500 In Canada, Rebates Up
To $14,000 Regionally
[20160226]  Jay Cole

[images
http://insideevs.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/chevrolet-bolt-ev-CAIS-2016-101-750x495.jpg
Chevrolet Bolt EV In Toronto For The Canadian International Auto Show

http://insideevs.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/chevrolet-bolt-ev-CAIS-2016-8-350x262.jpg
2017 Chevrolet Bolt EV To Receive $14,000 Rebate In Ontario
At least $46,500

http://insideevs.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/mto-ontario-rebates-plug-ins-750x436.jpg
List Of Eligible Current GM Vehicles For Plug-In Rebates In Ontario, Canada
(via MTO)

http://insideevs.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/chevrolet-bolt-ev-CAIS-2016-4-350x283.jpg
2017 Chevrolet Bolt In Toronto Last Week
]

While General Motors has stated that the upcoming 200 mile, 2017 Chevrolet
Bolt EV will be priced from $37,500 in the United States, an odd set of
circumstances has revealed it will be a bit more in Canada.

And while the recent breakdown of the Canada dollar ($1.355 CAD = 1 US
Dollar at time of press ?which is actually a decent improvement over the
past several weeks) means that is only equal to about ~$34,200 in US funds
(a relative steal), to Canadians, that is still a lot of money, as their
dollar was close to par just the summer before last.

The pricing information came to us indirectly via a Chevrolet representative
at the Canadian International Auto Show last week, as we asked him to walk
us through Ontario?s newly augmented rebate plan as it relates to GM?s
electrified vehicles.

?The MTO has said the 2017 Chevrolet Volt [pih], now qualifies for $11,877
thanks to an additional seat.  The Spark EV only get $9,000 because of its
smaller battery, and the all-new Chevrolet Bolt EV is the first to get the
full incentive ? $14,000 because of its battery and 5th seat.?

The new incentive program in Ontario increased rebates on plug-in cars from
$5,000-$8,500 to a new maximum of $14,000.

To learn how the program breaks down the criteria to arrive at a rebate
amount, click here [
http://insideevs.com/ontario-canada-boosts-electric-vehicle-incentive-program-up-to-10000/
], but there is two pricing caveats that reveal minimum Bolt EV pricing:

Vehicles with a starting MSRP between $75,000 and $150,000 are only eligible
for $3,000 (we will call this the ?Tesla rule?) and,
?Purchase incentives are not to exceed 30% of the MSRP.?

With a confirmed $14,000 rebate for the Bolt EV via the GM rep, that means
the MSRP must be higher than $46,500 to fulfill the criteria of a 30% max
rebate threshold.

For Ontarians the high pricing is still fairly inconsequential, as the Bolt
EV will still be an accessible all-electric vehicle inside a conventional 36
month lease ? perhaps ~$450 a month factoring in the government cash.

However with no federal plug-in incentive program, and no other province
offering near the same rebate as Ontario (Quebec ? $8,000, British Columbia
? $5,000), with the other provinces essentially having none at all, the Bolt
EV looks to be headed for some very unbalanced sales demographics in Canada.
In other words, Ontario is now America?s California.

Doing some napkin-back math, leases in Quebec will likely be around  a
minimum ~$625/month , BC ~$700/month?with the rest of Canada saddled with a
nearly ~$900 monthly payment.
[? 2016 Inside EVs]



--
Darryl McMahon
Freelance Project Manager (and Ontario-based EV advocate)
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