" It has no future that I can see."

If everything stays the same except legislation, maybe.  But the tech will
improve a lot in 10 years.

It is possible that net metering will go away, or it will be unbalanced and
they pay less for the owner generaed power (Duke proposed to the rate
commision here in NC to pay $0.02/ kWh and to charge $0.11 / kWh), but it
didn't fly.  The system of renewable energy credits helps hold that back.
Also people twist the cost of solar, owner generated power for their own
needs. For sure the power I make causes no trouble at all for Duke
Progress, it is different of oreders of magnitude more people start doing
it.  Duke benefits from the power generation I offset, enough of us with
residential PV reduces their need to build a nuke or some other fossil
fueled plant.  There is large and valid cost saving in saving generated
waste.  They pretty much get a free ride, stockpiling heavy water until it
reaches emergency proportions and the tax payers deal with it.  Or the ash
pits ruin the aquifer and nothing much is done to mitigate except on the
tax payers buck. You are also assuming that we will not turn away from
fossil fuels.

Anyway, I am more opitimistic than you are.  There is money to be made with
renewable energy, and Duke PRogress is into it big time.  It is not going
away to be sure.

I think they will end up competing with storage systems in residential
applications.  Batteries will get better as their chemistries and
production gets better.  Making panels is described as no harder than
making drywall.  I think the utilies can price themselves out of the market
if they go to far.

On Mon, Jan 18, 2016 at 2:15 PM, EVDL Administrator via EV <
ev@lists.evdl.org> wrote:

> On 18 Jan 2016 at 10:28, Robert Bruninga via EV wrote:
>
> > > I'm in no hurry to start the EV project [until after I]
> > > ... add more PV panels and batteries so I can go off grid,
> >
> > And why on earth do that?   ... .  It makes no sense when storage in
> > the grid is basically free (in good Net-metered states).
>
> The grid is "free storage" for now in some areas, but I predict that net
> metering will be dead in 10 years.  Powerful and well connnected
> (politically, not electrically) people don't like it, and they have state
> legislatures in their pockets.  Think about Reagan ripping the Carter PVs
> off the White House roof in 1980, and you'll have the right idea.
>
> People with existing systems may be grandfathered in, but will most likely
> find themselves getting a pittance for the energy they make, while they pay
> full retail for what they draw back out for charging the EV.  This is
> already happening in some states.
>
> If you want to drive on sunshine, you can expect to need batteries to store
> your energy in the future.  I for one would not buy a grid intertie system
> here in the US today.  It has no future that I can see.
>
> David Roden - Akron, Ohio, USA
> EVDL Administrator
>
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-- 
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