Here's my 2 cents Bruce. I expect that over the next 10 years many L2 EVSEs will become stranded assets. Nissan and GM plan to introduce 150 to 200 mile range cars in 2017, and Tesla likely will follow soon after. As the mix of evs gradually moves to mostly 200 range vehicles L2 EVSEs will be used less and less since there will be no need for people to charge anywhere but at home for in-town driving, and few will want to wait 4-5 hours to recharge a 60kWh pack at a 7kW L2 EVSE during a long trip. There will be a strong demand for L3 EVSEs strategically located for long trips, similar to the Tesla superchargers. I expect since most people will use these infrequently they will be willing to pay for use. Whether an acceptable roi can be generated for the owner of the L3 is yet to be determined, but I expect that eventually demand will be strong enough that price can increase to give acceptable roi. The new ev owners will likely "top off" any chance they get in town for a while, until they learn from experience that it is unnecessary. There will still of course be a need for L2 chargers, and 120V outlets at apartment complexes, since 120V will still be sufficient for most of those just driving to work each weekday.
I'm afraid that will eventually leave people like me, with low voltage packs, few places to charge away from home since we will not be able to use DC fast chargers whether or not we add the required connector and circuitry to our vehicles. But, that's a good thing, and we likely have quite a few years to go before that happens. Those who only use their conversion for local commuting will of course be unaffected. With 6 years and over 46k miles on my pack I will likely be ready to use it for back up for my PV by then and buy one of those 200 mile range evs rather than try and convert a car with a high voltage pack. It is still going strong, with little if any reduction in range, so should last a while. -- View this message in context: http://electric-vehicle-discussion-list.413529.n4.nabble.com/Why-all-EVgo-s-L3-EVSE-eggs-in-one-basket-a-paradigm-shift-of-charging-200-mi-EVs-tp4679127p4679137.html Sent from the Electric Vehicle Discussion List mailing list archive at Nabble.com. _______________________________________________ UNSUBSCRIBE: http://www.evdl.org/help/index.html#usub http://lists.evdl.org/listinfo.cgi/ev-evdl.org Read EVAngel's EV News at http://evdl.org/evln/ Please discuss EV drag racing at NEDRA (http://groups.yahoo.com/group/NEDRA)
