A little later Bratzel says why, that "battery economy, infrastructure, and price," are not achievable - in four years (2020) a million cars.
He didn't say it was a bad idea, just that it couldn't be met. Presently, there aren't enough batteries (not sure what was meant by battery autonomy exactly) or means to make them, there isn't enough clean power in their grid to support it, and by some estimate, apparently, not enough free cash to buy them. I think this is fair assessment. Germany has been talking about this since 2012 at least (see the links below the article) when they may have had chance, but 1M vehicles by 2020 is probably out of reach. At least 2 more gigafactories would be needed, not yet begun. There is insufficient raw materials, and production capability. The grid can't handle it, though other means are possible - not in 4 years. That is just a rough cut, but I see his point. On Oct 23, 2015 10:16 PM, "Ben Goren via EV" <[email protected]> wrote: > > Depressing to consider that, even in Germany with all its solar and wind power and now the VW diesel mess...even *that* isn't enough to launch EVs into the mainstream. > > http://phys.org/news/2015-10-vw-dieselgate-spotlight-electric-cars.html > > "The government's goal 'is quite simply not achievable,' said Stefan Bratzel, director of the Center of Automotive Research in Bergisch Gladbach. > > "There was 'a lot of euphoria, but no vision for a feasible economic model' for the electric car in Germany, he complained." > > Sorry, but that's just bullshit. The Nissan Leaf makes plain that low-cost high-quality EVs are possible. Teslas prove that EVs are the future for no-holds-barred luxury sedans. And PIHs like the Volt and Germany's own BMW i3 demonstrate that an "80/20" solution is practical for all the edge cases people like to latch onto. > > It's not rocket surgery. > > Slap a 50% tax surcharge on all passenger diesel fuel in light of the scandal and distribute the money equally to every registered owner of an EV in monthly payments. Problem solved. > > ...of course, that would harm the quarterly profit projections of the people who buy the politicians, so it ain't gonna happen...but we need to stop pretending that the problems are technological and realize that they are 100% political at this point. > > The technology is solved. Yes, it's going to get better, and significantly so -- but we're already at "good enough," by any reasonable measure. > > b& > -------------- next part -------------- > A non-text attachment was scrubbed... > Name: signature.asc > Type: application/pgp-signature > Size: 801 bytes > Desc: Message signed with OpenPGP using GPGMail > URL: < http://lists.evdl.org/private.cgi/ev-evdl.org/attachments/20151023/d7b76de4/attachment.pgp > > _______________________________________________ > UNSUBSCRIBE: http://www.evdl.org/help/index.html#usub > http://lists.evdl.org/listinfo.cgi/ev-evdl.org > Read EVAngel's EV News at http://evdl.org/evln/ > Please discuss EV drag racing at NEDRA ( http://groups.yahoo.com/group/NEDRA) > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: <http://lists.evdl.org/private.cgi/ev-evdl.org/attachments/20151024/ef0eda64/attachment.htm> _______________________________________________ UNSUBSCRIBE: http://www.evdl.org/help/index.html#usub http://lists.evdl.org/listinfo.cgi/ev-evdl.org Read EVAngel's EV News at http://evdl.org/evln/ Please discuss EV drag racing at NEDRA (http://groups.yahoo.com/group/NEDRA)
