Course: Ecological Niche Models in R

Where: Berlin

When: 20-24 May 2019

Instructors:

Dr. Sara Varela (Museum für Naturkunde, Berlin, Germany)

Dr. A. Márcia Barbosa  (CIBIO/InBIO - Universidade de Évora)


Course website: https://www.physalia-courses.org/courses-workshops/course45/




COURSE OVERVIEW

Ecological niche models (ENMs) are a fundamental tool for working in global 
change biology. Predicting species distributions is key for designing 
conservation and management plans that remain effective in the long run. 
Further, combining population genetics with maps of the species potential 
ranges in the past (e.g. during the last glacial maximum), allows researchers 
to unveil the role of cyclic global climatic changes on population dynamics. 

ENMs use data on species occurrences (both past or present) along with climatic 
layers, to extract the climatic conditions where the species have been sampled, 
and map species potential range dynamics through time. 

ENMs have been widely used and discussed in the recent literature. Data and 
biases in the data, climatic layers and climatic models, and most of all, the 
models itself. How to test our map predictions and what those map predictions 
really mean was hotly debated in the last 10 years. 

In this course, we are going to teach you how to use R to program ecological 
niche models (ENMs), models that aim to map the distribution of species based 
on its climatic requirements. Day by day, we will cover all the different steps 
of making an ENM and we will talk and discuss about their drawbacks (see below).


TARGETED AUDIENCE & ASSUMED BACKGROUND

This workshop is aimed at postgraduate students and researchers who are 
interested in using ENMs in their research. Experience in using R is not 
mandatory, but desirable. We will use R and RStudio in the lessons. 
 
TEACHING FORMAT

The workshop is delivered over ten half-day sessions (see the detailed 
curriculum below). Each session consists of a combination of lectures and 
practical exercises, with breaks at the organisers’ discretion. There will also 
be time for students to discuss their own problems and data.
 

Program
Day 1. Occurrence data: how to load your own data and how to import data from 
open access databases (such as GBIF or paleobioDB). We will discuss here the 
different potential biases on the input data and how to address them.  

Day 2. Climatic layers: types of climatic models (interpolations vs. 
mechanistic models, or worldclim vs. AOGCMs). How to use R as a GIS, how to 
extract climatic data from your occurrence points, etc. 

Day 3. Ecological Niche Models: types of models (distance models, regressions, 
classification and regression trees, maxent). We will learn about the different 
R packages to run those models, and their main differences.

Day 4. Program flow. Programming loops for working with large lists of species, 
models and climatic scenarios. When working in global change biology we need to 
automatize our scripts to make predictions over hundreds of species, trying 
several ENMs, and projecting the ENMs over different climatic scenarios (e.g. 
present and several future predictions). 

Day 5. Student exercises. Students will present their case study (we encourage 
students to think about a hypothesis that they would like to test during this 
course in advance), their initial goals, the problems that they faced, and how 
they manage to solve them.


For any questions, please feel free to contact us at: i...@physalia-courses.org


Best regards,
Carlo

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