Bruce, I think I have seen papers dealing with these issues, at least with asynchrony (temporal or spacial) caused by climate change. I believe that the following references might be of interest for you.
(I have a simple doc file with references and abstracts of papers on, broadly speaking, "Biota an Climate Change". I can send it to you if you wish). Davis A J, John H. Lawton, Bryan Shorrocks, Linda S. Jenkinson. Individualistic species responses invalidate simple physiological models of community dynamics under global environmental change. Journal of Animal Ecology 1998 – 67 – 600-612 Davis A J., Linda S. Jenkinson, John H. Lawton, Bryan Shorrocks & Simon Wood. Making mistakes when predicting shifts in species range in response to global warming. Nature, 1998, vol. 391,P. 783 – 786. Visser M.E. and Both C. 2005. Shifts in phenology due to global climate change: the need for a yardstick. Proceedings: Biological Sciences. Issue: Volume 272, Number 1581 / 2561 - 2569 Visser M. E, Holleman L.J.M., Gienapp P. 2006. Shifts in caterpillar biomass phenology due to climate change and its impact on the breeding biology of an insectivorous bird. Oecologia. Volume 147, Number 1: 164 - 172 Van Asch, M., Visser, M.E. Phenology of forest caterpillars and their host trees: The importance of synchrony. Annual Review of Entomology Volume 52, 2007, Pages 37-55. Møller A.P., Rubolini D., Lehikoinen E. Populations of migratory bird species that did not show a phenological response to climate change are declining. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2008 vol. 105 no. 42 16195-16200. Both C., van Asch M., Bijlsma R.G., van den Burg A.B.and Visser M.E. Climate change and unequal phenological changes across four trophic levels: constraints or adaptations? Journal of Animal Ecology 2009 Volume 78 Issue 1, Pages 73–83 Klapwijk M.J., Gröbler B.C., Ward K., Wheeler D., Lewis O.T. Influence of experimental warming and shading on host–parasitoid synchrony. Global Change Biology 2010 Volume 16 Issue 1, Pages 102 - 112 Schweiger O., Settele J., Kudrna O., Klotz S., Kühn I. Climate change can cause spatial mismatch of trophically interacting species. Ecology: (2008) Vol. 89, No. 12, pp. 3472-3479. Cheers, Dmitry. On Thu, May 6, 2010 at 10:16 PM, Bruce Robertson <[email protected]> wrote: > I'm curious to know if anyone is aware of any potential ecological or other > evolutionary traps caused directly (e.g. climatic cues related to migratory > ecology, emergence, flowering time asychrony with pollinators, etc) or > indirectly (e.g. resultant species interactions) by climate change. Climate > change is predicted to alter the temporal and spatial relationships between > organisms (and organisms and their abiotic environment) and should be > predicted, then, to alter the reliability of cues used by organisms to guide > various behaviors. I should say that something like earlier > departure/arrival by migratory birds may result in reduced fitness outcomes, > but may not be a trap unless there are other 'available' behavioral choices > for the organism to make. In this way, migratory departure may be a rather > hardwired behavior with little variability. It could be possible in this > example that regional variation in the degree of climate change could > trigger some local populations to migrate, while not others....this might > constitute a trap. Instead, such a case my simply represent organisms > experiencing evolutionary lag and 'making the best of bad situation'. > ...aside from this rather hypothetical example, traps due to climate change > seem particularly likely and I'm surprised that I have not yet read a paper > on this topic....I'd love to hear from anybody with either theoretical > ideas, anecdotal evidence or research in progress as I'm putting together a > manuscript that would benefit from such ideas. > > Best, > > -- > Bruce Robertson > Research Associate > Kellogg Biological Station > Michigan State University > 3700 East Gull Lake Drive > Hickory Corners, MI 49060 > 206-718-9172 > [email protected] > Homepage: www.msu.edu/~roberba1/Index.html/ > --------------------------- Dmitry Musolin, PhD Department of Entomology Faculty of Biology and Soil Sciences, St. Petersburg State University Universitetskaya nab., 7/9, St. Petersburg, 199034, RUSSIA In Russian: http://www.entomology.bio.pu.ru/musolin_front.htm In English: www.ndsu.nodak.edu/ndsu/rider/Pentatomoidea/Researchers/Musolin_Dmitry.htm "Seasonal Development of Aquatic and Semiaquatic True Bugs (Heteroptera)" www.unipress.ru/2007/sau.html; available at: http://www.pemberleybooks.com/
