(Posted from my personal email because that's how I'm subscribed here.)

Dear colleagues,

I just posted an update on the root KSK roll project at 
https://www.icann.org/news/blog/update-on-the-root-ksk-rollover-project. The 
text is reproduced below for your convenience and please let me offer the 
customary apology if you receive duplicate postings of this message on multiple 
mailing lists.

Matt
--
Matt Larson <matt.lar...@icann.org>
VP of Research, Office of the CTO, ICANN



The ICANN org is today announcing that it will not roll the root zone KSK in 
the first quarter of 2018.

We have decided that we do not yet have enough information to set a specific 
date for the rollover. We want to make clear, however, that the ICANN org is 
committed to rolling the root zone KSK and we will continue to discuss this 
important process with the community, gather their feedback and give all 
interested parties advance notice of at least one calendar quarter when we set 
the date for the rollover.

Furthermore, we are soliciting input from the community to help determine, if 
possible, appropriate objective criteria to measure the possible negative 
impact of the root KSK rollover on Internet users, and acceptable values for 
those criteria before a rollover. This is in accordance with the bottom-up, 
multi-stakeholder model that has been so successful for ICANN policy 
development.

On 27 September 2017, the ICANN org announced it was postponing the root zone 
KSK rollover for at least one quarter, leaving open the possibility the root 
KSK rollover might occur in the first quarter of 2018. We have since realized 
that our analysis and preparation will require additional time.

In a previous post, we described our analysis of recursive resolver trust 
anchor configuration information reported using the protocol defined in RFC 
8145, Signaling Trust Anchor Knowledge in DNS SecurityExtensions (DNSSEC). Our 
analysis revealed that about 4% of the approximately 12,000 DNSSEC-validating 
resolvers reporting during the month of September 2017 were configured with 
only KSK-2010 (the shorthand for the current root KSK) and would have been 
unable to resolve DNS queries after the rollover occurred.

The ICANN org's decision to postpone the rollover was based on the concern that 
we did not understand why those resolvers were not properly configured, and we 
needed time to investigate.

Since then, we have attempted to contact the operators of 500 addresses that 
had reported a resolver configuration with only KSK-2010 instead of the correct 
configuration of both KSK-2010 and the new KSK, KSK-2017. Ideally, that 
investigation would have revealed a set of clear causes for the improper 
configuration, allowing further communication and actions to be targeted at 
addressing those specific issues. But in the end, the analysis was not as 
conclusive as we would have hoped.

In our initial attempt, we received a response from operators of approximately 
20% of the 500 addresses. Of those addresses whose operators we could contact, 
60% came from address ranges known to host devices with dynamic addresses, such 
as routers of home broadband users and ephemeral virtual machines, making these 
resolvers extremely difficult (if not impossible) to track down. About 25% of 
the addresses corresponded to a resolver forwarding on behalf of another 
resolver that was reporting only KSK-2010. Since the address of the device 
reporting the incorrect configuration was not the actual source resolver, it is 
extremely difficult (if not impossible) to identify the true source address of 
the resolver that was reporting only KSK-2010.

To proceed with the root KSK rollover, the ICANN org must have confidence that 
the rollover will not have an unacceptable negative impact on Internet users. 
The challenge we have encountered since we began to analyze the RFC 8145 trust 
anchor configuration reports from resolvers is assessing the impact on users.

We can make a number of assumptions: for example, it is unlikely that a 
recursive resolver running at a dynamic address could support a large number of 
users since it does not offer a stable address for any devices to send queries 
to for resolution. But ultimately, determining potential user impact based on 
the data available to us is difficult and we are therefore soliciting the 
community's input.

Input and discussion on acceptable criteria for proceeding with the KSK roll 
will take place on an existing email list that is already being used for 
discussion of the root KSK rollover. We encourage anyone interested in 
contributing to join the mailing list by visiting 
https://mm.icann.org/mailman/listinfo/ksk-rollover.

The ICANN org will monitor this mailing list and beginning on 15 January 2018, 
we will develop a draft plan for proceeding with the root KSK roll based on the 
input received and discussion on the mailing list. The plan will be published 
by 31 January 2018 and undergo a formal ICANN public comment process to gather 
further input. We will hold a session at ICANN61 in San Juan, Puerto Rico, to 
discuss the plan and hear from the community in person. Our intent is to have a 
revised plan available for community review and public comment prior to ICANN62 
in Panama City, Panama, with a final plan published soon thereafter.

Throughout the process we'll continue to keep the community updated on the root 
KSK rollover project's progress.

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