On Tue, Jun 5, 2018 at 1:54 PM, Stephen John Smoogen <smo...@gmail.com>
wrote:

> On 5 June 2018 at 12:49, Jeff Backus <jeff.bac...@gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> >
> > On Mon, Jun 4, 2018 at 10:07 PM, Matthew Miller <
> mat...@fedoraproject.org>
> > wrote:
> >>
> >> On Mon, Jun 04, 2018 at 03:50:34PM -0400, Jeff Backus wrote:
> >> > Thanks for the data. 25k is still a pretty healthy number. :) I
> realize
> >>
> >> Yeah, absolutely. And it's likely that those mirror numbers undercount,
> >> because not every system checks in daily, and then there's also NAT.
> >>
> >> But, my gut feeling is that about half of those are not using a current
> >> release _anyway_. Honest question: do you think that 12k would still
> >> count as a healthy number? I mean, it's not peanuts. But maybe it'd be
> >> better served by a Fedora remix (or similar) specifically targetting
> >> older and low-powered systems?
> >
> >
> > Good question. I think it would be more productive to think in
> percentages
> > instead of raw numbers, in this case. There are a lot of FOSS projects
> out
> > there that would love to have 12k users. :)
> >
> > Certainly, I would consider 10% a healthy number when talking about
> portion
> > of user base. I would even argue that 1% is still a healthy number,
> > particularly with regard to decisions that have a reasonable chance of
> > disenfranchising those affected. While I hate seeing people leave a
> > community, I wouldn't be able to defend 0.1%. So, somewhere in there is
> my
> > general boundary.
> >
> > Now cost changes all of that, of course. Obviously if 75% of our effort
> is
> > going to please 10%, then 10% isn't a healthy number.
> >
> > Clearly effort is going into enabling Fedora to work on non-SSE2 systems
> by
> > teams invested in the success of Fedora in general and not the success of
> > non-SSE2 systems in particular. I just don't know how to quantify it.
> >
> > Based on Smooge's awesome numbers, it looks like x86_32 is in the 2.3%
> > range. It would be interesting to see how this stacks up to AArch64 and
> > other secondary arches. Unfortunately, what complicates things is how
> x86_32
> > is so intertwined with x86_64.
> >
>
> It is also complicated in that most of the large sites using aarch64
> and arm32 do so in ways which make them uncountable. They will have
> 'thousands' of nodes but all of them use an internal mirror so we see
> them as only 1..
>

Good point. Does this affect x86_64, as well?


> The other issue is that the arm/aarch64 have active upstream help from
> people who are building the boards. There isn't any such support on
> the x86_32 side with the manufacturers getting to the point of saying
> "here is $20.00 and an ebay link.. buy at least a  pentium iv or v
> please. " The question that the x86 group needs to figure out is how
> many of the 3800 active systems are going to not have SSE2.
>

re: upstreams - Agreed. Clearly we are on borrowed time.

re: SSE2 - Agreed. We might be able to do some clever filtering with
Bugzilla to get an idea...


> > To your point re: a remix, that is an option we've discussed within the
> SIG
> > and is one we are open to exploring. A remix wouldn't resolve issues
> > introduced by enabling SSE2 by default, unless we maintained a parallel
> set
> > of packages e.g. i586 (which I've already been warned about. :) )
> >
> >>
> >> > that there are a lot of unknowns in the data, so it is difficult to
> draw
> >> > any hard conclusions, but 25k is still much larger than 0. Splitting
> >> > into
> >> > i686 into i586 and i686 would give more insight into who still needs
> >> > non-SSE2... Probably hurts my argument, though. :)
> >>
> >> Soooooo.... this is the kind of thing that more a detailed hardware
> >> census could really help us with!
> >
> >
> > Yes, I would agree :)
> >
>
> So it would probably be a lot more detailed than other sites are
> running. I looked at the popcorn data and they seem to count whether
> an OS is i386 or amd64 not if the CPU is pentium iii. Neither did any
> of the other OS census programs.
>

Thanks for looking. It's unfortunate, but not surprising.

-- 
Jeff Backus
jeff.bac...@gmail.com
http://github.com/jsbackus
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