On Mon, Jun 4, 2018 at 3:53 PM, Stephen John Smoogen <smo...@gmail.com>
wrote:

> On 4 June 2018 at 14:18, Matthew Miller <mat...@fedoraproject.org> wrote:
> > On Mon, Jun 04, 2018 at 02:01:13PM -0400, Matthew Miller wrote:
> >> > >>support long NOPs, for Intel CET.  However, the majority of
> >> > >>installations of i686 packages is for use on x86_64 systems, as
> >> > >>multi-lib RPMs.
> >> > >Based on what data?
> >> > The mirror data I've seen, but it's really outdated at this point.
> >> There are currently about 275,000 IP address checking in with x86_64
> >> systems every day. and 25,000 x86_32. So it's about 11:1.
> >
> > Here's a breakdown as arch percentage over time:
> >
> > https://twitter.com/mattdm/status/1003701941724172295
> >
> > Looks like the 50:50 point was about five years ago.
> >
>
> For F26,F27,F28 for the first 150 days of the year:
>
> Days:  150
> X86_32: 3769.4 avg/day
> X86_64: 159540 avg/day
> Ratio (32/64) 0.0236267 (1:42)
>
> The reason is that the majority of i386 users are not moving off of
> dead/old releases. For the month of May
>
> Avg/day release
> 28623.7 epel6
> 16009.2 epel5
> 4043.37 f25
> 3318.53 f20
> 2759.2 f08
> 2127.8 f23
> 1589.63 f27
> 1401.7 f22
> 1371 f26
> 1277.53 f21
> 1056.33 f28
> 874.2 f24
> 733.8 f14
> 562.533 f19
> 509.067 f11
>
> In comparison, x86_64 is mostly living on the latest release:
> [smooge@data-analysis01 mirrors]$ grep '^2018-05-.* x86_64' out-2018
> | awk '{print $3}' | sort | uniq -c | sort -bnr | head -n 15 | awk
> '{print $1/30, $2}'
> 671455 epel7
> 605436 epel6
> 87367.4 f27
> 60159.7 f28
> 37857.6 epel5
> 34421.4 f26
> 27011 f25
> 19115.4 f23
> 14292.2 f24
> 8627.47 f22
> 6603.3 f20
> 5863.47 f21
> 1413.37 modular_f28
> 1091.87 f19
> 868.833 f18
>
> The 30 is because only 30 days of May have been analyzed. [And yes
> there are still many Fedora 08 systems showing up for x86_32]
>
> Personally I think the number of those systems which are running
> Pentium III hardware with the latest OS are probably already on this
> mailing list.. I expect that they would also be looking at only
> needing to support a small subset of the software since running
> GNOME/KDE with usually 128->512 MB of RAM is not possible. It also
> would probably want a very stripped down installer since anaconda is
> aimed at 'current' hardware... probably something like the images that
> ARM-32 makes.
>

Very good point!

And wow! Fedora 08 was quite some time ago... :)

-- 
Jeff Backus
jeff.bac...@gmail.com
http://github.com/jsbackus
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