On Mon, Dec 05, 2016 at 08:51:35AM -0500, Matthew Miller wrote:
> into it, and it's in the middle of his priorities somewhere between
> "actual urgent work" and "other actual important work"), but
> preliminary stats show a big drop in i686 mirror connections over the
> last year — like, about cut in half. I'm not sure if this is a glitch
> or representative of a real move — or whether it's because of perceived
> or actual changes we've made, or just because people's old hardware is
> hitting an end-of-life wall.

For previous years, the percentage of hits to the mirror server (one IP
counted per day) looks like this:

  2007 - 85.3%
  2008 - 80.6%
  2009 - 76.9%
  2010 - 71.5%
  2011 - 65.4%
  2012 - 56.2%
  2013 - 46.0%
  2014 - 35.7%
  2015 - 22.1%
  
So, roughly 5 percentage points lost the each year until 2012, and 10
points a year after that. The average so far of 2016 is 17.9%, but
that's a little deceptive because of the big drop I mentioned above —
it's in the 20s at the beginning of the year, but around summer dropped
to 15% or so and is now around 12% - so looks like the drop-10 pattern
will hold again. We'll see if it goes to 2% in 2017, though!

(In case you're wondering, non-Intel architectures are around 1.7%,
with ARM comprising the lion's share of that.)

-- 
Matthew Miller
<mat...@fedoraproject.org>
Fedora Project Leader
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