With the own respect, Stephane, sometimes reading your comments I find you dreaming and dreaming, but not on earth...
2015-02-26 5:09 GMT-03:00 Stephane Beladaci <adobeflexengin...@gmail.com>: > On Wed, Feb 25, 2015 at 9:38 AM, Carlos Velasco < > carlos.velasco.bla...@gmail.com> wrote: > > > What I was trying to point is: Flash Player is not an Adobe's bussiness > > core tool right now, and depending absolutely from a company which is not > > investing hard on it is the way to certain death, maybe not today, not > > tomorrow, let's see in a couple of years. > > > > That would hold true in the US Corporate golden era, which is dying. I > recommend this article from Ray Kurzweil: > > http://futurist.typepad.com/my_weblog/2006/12/are_you_acceler.html > > Ray's work and lectures completely changed the way I looked at technology > and evolution for the past 15 years. It allowed me to anticipate trends and > disrctions years, when not a decade ahead of the crowd and industries. If > it speaks to you, I recommend his blog and lectures from early 2000s: > > http://www.kurzweilai.net/the-law-of-accelerating-returns > > He has become a bit too merchandised in recent years, it is kinda vulgar, > dilutes his point (selling vitamin pills when talking about Singularity is > only working in America), and undermine his authority. Still, the man is an > advisor of US military and secret services on the topics of singularity and > nanotechnology, and predicted mobile trends way back with amazing > granularity and acuracy (I wish he was Adobe CEO). > > The TED talk is when is started to get weird to me: > http://www.ted.com/talks/ray_kurzweil_on_how_technology_will_transform_us > > So, basically, let's forget everything we think we know about the future, > and consider that most of what you believe to be sci-fi and expect for > thousand years from now will actually happen within our lifetime. > > The same way, entire community are going to raise from povrety to > rich-states capita in a matter of years. If you think Facebook is bringing > Internet to the poor by philantropy, think twice... it is the only way they > have left to solve their single digit plumeting growth besides China and > kids below 13 yo. > > In the same idea, the entire corporate world (including both for profit and > nonprofit) is going to be disrupted, in ways that I believe to be of > greater impact on humanity that both the digital revolution of late 1990 > and the social revolution of early 2000. They are actually colluding and > are now the driving force behind the peer revolution. > > Basically, we run the show. Not corporations, not networks, not fancy CEOs. > Each and every of us have now the voice and reach of the president of a > state haf a decade ago. Few of us can lead communities to take down entire > products, or corporations with Twitter alone. None of us need a bank to > make a movie, start a business. We do not need credit card to buy medical > treatment we can't afford. We no longer need large charity organization to > make a difference in our communities. > > And we developers surely no longer need Adobe. Do you follow the point? > > > Open sourcing the player is their decission, nothing that the community has > > right to complain about, nothing at hand to force them to do so.. > > > That is correct. It might be because it is a huge shameful mess after years > of third world therapy. It might be because the executive branch is > actually smarter than it looks and know very well that the tiny bit piece > of proprietary is what make possible for Adobe to push innovation with a > direct entry on virtually any screen without to have to sit at the W3C > circus table and talk it out for years, to have it then sabotaged by each > vendor fancy engineering teams on corporate leeches. > > But who cares? Those who need the drama to cover up their own sh*t. We do > not. > > > But we all know the product is gold... > > > And that is all what matters, because for the same reasons I tried to summ > up above, consumers are becoming very smart! Try to push on the digital > natives what Silicon Valley, including Jobs, has been pushing on the baby > boomers. Good luck, they will tear you aprts across social networks and > might even hack you down. > > > > Then come on, the only way to maintain and gain market is to leave Adobe > > dependencies, have a strong support on IDEs, SDK and VMs, and returning > > back to the market as a new and powerful independent product brand. > > > > First of all, a lot have changes. For instance, only AIR has a webkit > integrated, right? And the only reason for that was to keep the player > tiny, so people in Africa or emerging contries can download it with a modem > in 2003. Who cared for 50MB today? Let's load it up and be the browser. > Just an example for illustration purpose, food for thoughts. > > The questions are: Is there enough people standing for the product to > > maintain such a huge technology? Will they do it for free? Are there ways > > to ensure the product development costs. > > > That will be unlimited. Want to run a labs and experiment a crowd of 10,000 > developers working on some pieces? Let's do it. Need to invente new project > management methodology and workflow to make it possible? Let's do it. Need > $200K just for the chatroom cloud computing? Let's call google. Want to try > artificial intelligence on code review? Let's bring IBM. > > As of today, myself alone, with zero support or community, have been > granted nearly $10K/month, actually $95K/year in software licensing and > cloud computing credit by Microsoft, IBM, Google and Rackspace for Open > Screen Project and iSocialWatch, earlier is for us, latter is for > consumers, the whole think is to disrupt Silicon Valley with Flash. Before > to laugh, wait for it :) >
