On Tuesday 25 July 2006 20:03, Matej Cepl wrote:
> Paul Johnson wrote:
> > I meant in general, the whole genre of multi-IM software.
>
> This is not fair -- the fact one program is crap (and even commercial one)
> doesn't mean that similar programs are crap as well. Windows NT is piece of
> sh..t, so Linux has to be bad as well :-).
Well, more like Windows NT is a piece of shit, so it's not really a surprise 
that 2000 and XP are as well.

> >> I talked about that with some devs on jdev MUC, and the conclusion was
> >> that you would need to make substantial changes to mod_irc and no-one is
> >> willing to do that--Erlang and all that stuff.
> >
> > Eh, IRC's dying anyway, so I guess it's not a big loss.
>
> The reports of IRC's death have been IMHO greatly exaggerated. Could you
> elaborate on this?

I did further down below in the same post you replied to.

> > IRC is losing users to IM systems in general, and Jabber in particular
> > from the userbase I've encountered, which is to be expected given what we
> > saw with SMTP 10 years ago.
>
> Well, the timing is very important. My father when asked by BBC in 1968
> what he thinks about invasion of the Soviet army to the Czech republic
> said, that the socialist system is unsustainable and that it will fall
> apart by its own weight. And believing that they returned to the
> Czechoslovakia (both my dad and my mom were in that time in Oxford,
> England). Prediction was correct, just timing was twenty years off ;-).

I'm not sure the Soviet Union didn't have help.  They were plagued by 
power-hungry party officials and translators that accidentally mistranslate 
morbid but harmless Russian idioms into outward threats.  Had Lenin not 
seized power and disposed of Marx, Stalin not have ever been a major figure 
and Krushchev been a bit more level headed and hired a sane translator, odds 
are the USSR would still exist today and the Cold War avoided entirely.

> > The ball is already in motion, and it's probably way too late to try and
> > stop it at this point: Instant messaging and groupchat services are
> > eventually going to change to XMPP or die.
>
> Well, check your timing -- Debian doesn't have official MUC
> (http://www.gatago.com/linux/debian/project/14623966.html), KDE doesn't
> have working one (we two are present often at kdetalk.net, but that's not
> that much comparing to #kde). Maybe Jabber will win (maybe something will),
> but we are certainly not there yet.

I've been told I have incredible foresight for these things.  I predicted the 
Yahoo/MSN merger back in 2004 when Jabber overtook Yahoo in user count.

-- 
Paul Johnson
Email and IM (XMPP & Google Talk): [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Jabber: Because it's time to move forward  http://ursine.ca/Ursine:Jabber

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