At 2025-02-06T23:19:11-0700, dovencio.dosho...@gmail.com wrote:
> On Thursday, February 6, 2025 7:12:09 PM MST G. Branden Robinson wrote:
> > Hi Soren,
> > 
> > Thank you for the serious follow-up.
> > 
> > [...]
> > > This includes participating in discussions about Debian policies
> > > that involve their employer.
> > 
> > Here I must disagree.  I think your statement is equivalent to
> > claiming that "there is no such thing as a conflict of interest", an
> > ethical stance with a poor track record of producing socially
> > desirable outcomes.[1]
> > [...]
> > [1]
> > https://www.forbes.com/sites/danalexander/2017/04/18/trump-says-he-cant-hav
> > e-conflicts-of-interest-former-business-partner-says-otherwise/
> 
> How does this statement be equivalent to "there is no such thing as a
> conflict of interest?"

It's impossible to say, because you dropped context essential for the
reader to comprehend the discussion.

Let's trace the chain of references and antecedents.

[you]   "this statement" -> [me] "(I think) your statement"
[me]    "your statement" -> [Soren] "This"
[Soren] "This"           -> ???

> How does the linked article support your opinion?

That people can disclaim conflicts of interest even while possessing
them, which is a form of failing to disclose them.

> > > 2.  It is appropriate for an employee of such a company to disclose
> > > their connection to the company when discussing policies regarding
> > > that company.
> > 
> > Then you and I disagree.  I think Google employees/contractors are
> > conflicted out on decisions like the one Roberto raised.  Whether
> > they support or oppose Roberto's stated position is immaterial.
> 
> This isn't useful.

Useful to what end?  I offered an opinion, not a device or technique.

> You can simply choose not to trust what the person has to say and
> disclosing conflicts of interest would make it easier for you to not
> trust them.

One could "simply" choose not to trust what a person has to say based on
their having blond hair or being shorter than 2 meters tall.

It turns out that the concept of a conflict of interest is, contrary to
height or hair color, materially correlated with outcomes of business or
policy decisions.  I won't support this claim for you with a literature
search, but trust you to do so for yourself if you're curious, which I
suspect you're not.

> > If you think through the scenario of a Google employee _supporting_
> > Roberto's proposal, but being afraid to publicly say so, then you
> > have deduced why the conflict of interest exists.
> 
> Okay I'll bite here is some game theory:
> 
> Bit 0: false = They are not in support; true = They are in support
> 
> Bit 1: false = They are afraid of speaking publicly; true = They are
> not afraid of speaking publicly
> 
> Bit 2: false = They have harmful information; true = They have useful
> information 
> 
> Bit 3: false = They don't clarify their conflict of interest;  true =
> They clarify their conflict of interest
> 
> Note: If bit 1 is unset bit 3 is automatically false because they
> would not be able to disclose their conflict of interest without being
> able to speak about it

Okay.  You know how to set up (an elaborated) Prisoner's Dilemma matrix.
Good show.

[quoting the enumeration of 16 scenarios with some reluctance]
> 0000: .25
> They don't support it, they don't speak about it, and they have
> harmful information. Nothing happens because they don't speak about,
> therefore .25 for avoiding harmful information.
> 
> 1000: .25
> They support it, they don't speak about it, and they have harmful
> information.  Nothing happens because they don't speak about it,
> therefore .25 for avoiding harmful information.
> 
> 0100: -1
> They don't support it, they say something, it's harmful information,
> and they don't disclose their bias. The person says that Debian should
> keep ties with Google but their information given is faulty and it
> causes Debian to make the wrong decision, therefore -1. 
> 
> 1100: -1
> They do support it, they say something, it's harmful information, and
> they don't disclose their bias. The person says that Debian shouldn't
> keep ties with Google but their given info is faulty and and it causes
> Debian to make the wrong decision, therefore -1.
> 
> 0010: -.25
> They do not support it, they don't say anything, it is helpful
> information.  Nothing changes but Debian misses out on helpful
> information -.25
> 
> 1010: -.25
> They do support it, they don't say anything, it is helpful
> information.  Nothing changes but Debian misses out on helpful
> information -.25
> 
> 0110: 1
> They do not support it, they say something, it is helpful information,
> they don't disclose their bias. The person says that Debian should
> keep ties with Google and the info helps Debian make the right choice,
> 1.
> 
> 1110: 1
> They support it, they say something, it is useful information, they
> don't disclose their bias. The person says that that Debian shouldn't
> keep ties with Google and the info helps Debian make the right choice,
> 1.
> 
> 0001: .25 Same as 0000 but if they did speak they would have disclosed
> however, they didn't.
> 
> 1001: .25 Same as 1001 but if they did speak they would have disclosed
> however, they didn't.
> 
> 0101: .75 They don't support it, they say something, it wasn't useful
> information, but they disclose their conflict of interest. The person
> says they think Debian should stick with Google but it poisons the
> discussion with faulty info, however, Debian caught it sooner because
> of the bias warning and still makes the right decision but not without
> wasting some time. .75
> 
> 1101: .75 They do support it, they say something, it wasn't useful
> information but they disclose their conflict of interest. The person
> says they think Debian shouldn't stick with Google but it poisons the
> discussion with faulty info, however, Debian caught it sooner because
> of the bias warning and still makes the right decision but not without
> wasting some time. .75
> 
> 0011: -.25 Same as 0010 but they would normally disclose their bias.
> 
> 1011: -.25 Same as 1010 but they would normally disclose their bias.
> 
> 0111: .75 They do not support it, they say something, it was useful
> information, and they disclose their bias. The person says they think
> Debian should stick with Google and the info is useful, but some time
> is lost checking if the info is still valid with the bias but Debian
> makes the correct choice .75
> 
> 1111: .75 They do support it, they say something, it was useful
> information and they disclose their bias. The person says they think
> Debian should split ties with Google and the info is useful, but some
> time is lost checking if the info is still valid with the bias but
> Debian make the correct choice.
>
> Now we take the averages using factory optimizations to analyze the
> result:

How did you determine the weights to assign each scenario?  You haven't
motivated or justified them.  Consequently, even independently of
"factory optimizations" (a Google search [naturally enough] suggests
that this is not a term of art in game theory; if you can explain it in
terms of, say, linear programming, I'll be fine) you can contrive any
result you desire.

[outcomes of arbitrary selected weights using unexplained algorithm
elided]

> > > Doing so is not a humblebrag.
> > 
> > It can be gravy ladled on a juicy conflict-of-interest sirloin steak.
> 
> Just your strawman opinion.

You are James Damore and I claim my five pounds.

Regards,
Branden

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