On Thu, May 10, 2007 at 12:41:32AM +0900, Junichi Uekawa wrote: > Hi, > > I've tried to craft an hypothesis about number of Debian users, from > apt-listbugs logs. I've analysed merkel.debian.org access logs. Since > etch was released, 30000 unique IPs were used to access > merkel.debian.org using apt-listbugs. According to popcon, 3% of all > Debian users install apt-listbugs. Let me add three simplifications to > the equation. > > (A) popcon models Debian user installation behavior reasonably well. > > (B) A unique IP represents a single system (Even though DHCP may > change IP address over a month's period, NAT may share IP addresses). > > (C) All users are using Debian etch, lenny, or sid.
You cannot accept both A and C at the same time: according to popcon, 64% use Etch, 18% use testing/sid, and 18% use something else (14.4% old testing snapshots, 4% Sarge and 0.6% Woody) but the data are strongly biaised toward recent releases, so the number of Sarge install remaining is probably much higher than 4%. > I can assume there are 1,000,000 Debian users worldwide. Does this > number sound big or small to you? I would expect at least 10 millions computers running Debian. (My own estimate is 225 millions but it seems a bit much). In other news, it seems we have already passed the peak for Etch. Cheers, -- Bill. <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Imagine a large red swirl here. -- To UNSUBSCRIBE, email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] with a subject of "unsubscribe". Trouble? Contact [EMAIL PROTECTED]
