reconstruction finished earlier today:

md2 : active raid10 sdc5[2] sdd5[0] sda5[4] sdb5[1]
15567237120 blocks super 1.2 512K chunks 2 near-copies [4/4] [UUUU]
      bitmap: 1/116 pages [4KB], 65536KB chunk

So, functionally, raid reconstruction worked properly - just the reporting of the estimated time and speed were off - and I think the estimated time is calculated based on the speed and size left.

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