> Can you run it with bash -x from cron? Hopefully it tells where it breaks

Using bash will not help here, that's the problem. cron-apt is a /bin/sh
script, and on many systems /bin/sh is dash. And, $RANDOM doesn't exist
in dash.

Change cron-apt's shebang line to use /bin/bash and it should be fine.

Now we probably can move on to stage 6 of debugging "how did that
ever work?", since we're having /bin/sh point to dash for a while and
this issue just appeared on of my _stable_ systems.

Greetings
Marc

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