Predicting the Duration of the 2003 Gulf
War
'Our best estimate of the likely duration of the war (given
the evolution of the war thus far, and assuming that the United States is
able to maintain its maneuver-based strategy) is approximately 2½ months.
If the US is forced to turn to a pure attrition-based strategy in which
it is forced to defeat most or all Iraqi units through direct combat, our
estimate of the war’s possible duration stretches to nearly a year'
( D Scott Bennett and
Allan C Stam via
Penn State )
»
See also this press release
alt.war
'It's now clear that, by unquestioningly parroting
Pentagon flackery, metropolitan daily
newspapers, broadcast and cable television networks, and radio networks
misled Americans into believing that the US
Army last month entered an easily won battle from which the
country could quickly extract itself. US news organisations have, indeed,
used the war as an opportunity to distinguish themselves as toadying,
superficial, jingoistic, simplistic, and, on too many points,
drastically, factually, frequently wrong'
( Matt Smith via SF Weekly )
»
See also this article by Marina
Jiménez, and this commentary by Peter
Arnett from Tuesday
US military warns foreign journalists in Iraq:
'Don't mess with my soldiers. Don't mess with them because they are
trained like dogs to kill. And they will kill you...'
Transcript of a slightly off-key interview with Dan Scemama,
one of four journalists detained for 48 hours by US forces in Iraq (
Democracy Now! )
»
See also the Reporters sans frontières
website, and this blog
entry from Sunday
