WOMD includes the nukes Saddam got from the old USSR right?

CBS News | Saddam's Nuke-Proof Bunker | March 30, 2003 22:26:15
... The bunker was designed to withstand a nuclear blast 650 feet away as powerful as
the ... Saddam in the spring of 1984 when he was invited to Baghdad around the ...

What me Worry?

Some 32 tons of HMX high explosive which the inspectors left under UN seal in Iraq in 1998 have disappeared and remain unaccounted for. That is more than 10% of the 228 tonnes the UN impounded before 1998.

HMX is used to create a nuclear detonation. The explosive is ignited and "squeezes" the nuclear material, highly enriched uranium or plutonium for the nuclear blast. Baghdad says it took the HMX for industrial purposes, for mining in the cement industry.

"This could be tied to a reviving bomb programme," said Mr Norris.

"It's very difficult to determine where every kilo of it goes. We're working on it," said an IAEA source. "We don't have answers on that. It'll take some time."

Uranium

"A focal point has been the investigation of reports of Iraqi efforts to import uranium after 1991. The Iraqi authorities have denied any such attempts. The IAEA will continue to pursue this issue."

The assessment
Tony Blair's "intelligence dossier" on Iraq last year alleged that Baghdad had been smuggling in unprocessed uranium or yellowcake from Africa. The nuclear inspectors have been unable to find any trace of the alleged uranium. A large part of Mr El Baradei's plea for more time and for greater assistance from the CIA and MI6 concerns such smuggling allegations.

The Iraqi scientist questioned a fortnight ago followed a British intelligence tip-off, sources say. But British emphasis on the importance of the scientist proved misplaced, they add. "The results were not significant."

Some 3,000 pages of documents on the illicit nuclear project were found at the home of the scientist, but the information related to before 1991, the programme the IAEA says it "neutralised" and provided no information relating to the crucial period since 1998 when the inspectors left Baghdad. Undermining the IAEA argument is the expert view that the lack of nuclear fuel is all that is keeping Saddam from having a nuclear bomb.

Mr Norris said that the interview with the scientists a fortnight ago threw up evidence that Iraq had also been exploring laser technology for uranium enrichment, a more advanced method than the centrifuges and the aluminium tubes.

"We were surprised at the revelations [in the 1990s] that Saddam had capable people and he was quite far along. They still have all that know-how and probably quite a lot of components squirreled away," Mr Norris said.

"The problem is getting enough fissile material to make a bomb. Iraq doesn't have it. North Korea has hundreds of tonnes of it. There's an enormous Russian stockpile. You might be able to buy it on the black market."

Mr El Baradei concluded by stressing the importance of inspections: "We have to date found no evidence that Iraq has revived its nuclear weapons programme since the elimination of the programme in the 1990s. However, our work is steadily progressing and should be allowed to run its natural course. We should be able within the next few months to provide credible assurance that Iraq has no nuclear weapons programme. These few months would be a valuable investment in peace because they could help us avoid a war.

http://www.buzzle.com/editorials/1-27-2003-34489.asp?viewPage=7

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