Hi,
I guessed AlphaGo Zero's CGOS rating.
I picked up ratings from "Mastering the Game of Go without Human Knowledge"
Figure 3 and Figure 6.
GoRatings
Raw network 3030 (40 blocks) (Policy)
AlphaGo Zero 5200 (40 blocks) 1 machine, 4 TPU
AlphaGo Master 4800 1 machine, 4 TPU, Rollout
AlphaGo Zero 4400 (20 blocks) 1 machine, 4 TPU
AlphaGo Lee 3700 many machines, 48 TPU 2016/03
AlphaGo Fan 3150 many machines, 176 GPU 2015/10
CrazyStone 1900
Pachi 1300
GNU Go 400
I think over AlphaGo Lee, ratings calculated from selfplay. So I estimate
rating progress is half. For example, Zero(5200) is +1500 stronger than
Lee(3700). But I estimate Zero is +750 stronger ,Zero(4450).
BayesElo
CGOS GoRatings
AlphaGo Zero 5422? 4450? (40 blocks) 1 machine, 4 TPU
AlphaGo Master 5231? 4250? 1 machine, 4 TPU, Rollout
AlphaGo Zero 5022? 4050? (20 blocks) 1 machine, 4 TPU
AlphaGo Lee 4672? 3700 many machines, 48 TPU 2016/03
Park Junghwan 4592? 3620 strongest human
Ke Jie 4590? 3618
Yuta Iyama 4546? 3574
Lee Sedol 4514? 3542
Zen-15.7-4c1g 4269 3297? CGOS strongest
Cho Chikun 4187? 3215
AlphaGo Fan 4122? 3150 many machines, 176 GPU 2015/10
tianrang-galaxy 4062 3090?
Raw network 4002? 3030 (40 blocks) (Policy)
Fan Hui 3978? 3006
AQ-2.1.1-4t1g 3944 2972?
AlphaGo(Fan) 3862? 2890 1 machine(48CPU, 8GPU) 2015/10
Rn.4.16-4c 3525 2553?
Aya792p2v2cn50_12t 3313 2341? KGS 7d (Blitz)
AlphaGo RL 2729? 1757? Reinforcement learning from AlphaGo SL
Aya790e_510_ro_1k 2580 1608? KGS 3d
AlphaGo SL 2489? 1517 (Policy) Filter 192
pachi11_12t_100k 2429 1457? pachi, 100k playout/move
Gnugo-3.7.10-a1 1800 828? KGS 5k
Note 1. CGOS <-> GoRatings is based on AlphaGo RL beats Pachi 100k with
85%(+300).
Note 2. CGOS = GoRatings + 972
Note 3. "?" is guess.
Note 4. AlphaGo Lee(3700) may be calculated from 4-1 result against Lee
Sedol(3542).
Note 5. Human ratings are from https://www.goratings.org/en/
Note 6. CGOS rating is BayesElo. http://www.yss-aya.com/cgos/19x19/bayes.html
Thanks,
Hiroshi Yamashita
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