Am 24.07.2009 um 16:25 schrieb Jason House:
Adding a prior through a 3rd player should alter your results.
There's minimal data on how A compares to B, so since the data for
dummy says they're equal, you should expect results closer to one.
You could do priors that simply set the initial guesses. That won't
alter the results. You also could increase the number of games
between A and B. That'll push the results back to theoretical.
Are you sure the connect pattern is still valuable once the other
patterns are taken into account? It may be that without other
knowledge, it works well, but that a full pattern set can better
differentiate when a connection is good or not?
Sent from my iPhone
Hi Jason,
OK I see that this alters the result.
The "full pattern set" is just all 3x3 patterns, so there isn't a lot
of additional knowledge. Nevertheless, there is a downwards tendency
for all patterns. You can find the exact patterns (triangle, connect
and hane) and the average rating of all patterns here:
http://pastie.org/557743
Thanks,
Isaac
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