I have a really basic question about how MC works in the context of Go. Suppose the problem is to make the first move in a game, and suppose we have accepted as a constraint that we will abstain from just copying some joseki out of a book -- we are going to use MC to figure out the first move de novo. We turn on the software and it begins to play out games. My question is: how does the software pick its first move? Does it move entirely at random? Sometimes it sounds that way MC works is by picking each move at random, from the first to the last, for a million games or so. The trouble is that the number of possible Go games is so large that a million games would not even begin to explore the possibilities. It is hard to imagine anything useful emerging from examining such a small number. So I'm guessing that the moves are not chosen at random. But even if you reduce the possibilities to two options per move, which would be pretty impressive, you'd still run out of your million games in only twenty moves, after which you would be back to picking at random again.
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