Jason House wrote:
In Remi's paper on ELO ratings of moves, how is mean log evidence computed? Is that looking at the probability of the training set? e.g. if the selected moves have estimated probabilities of 1/e, 1/e^2, 1/e, and 1/e, then the log evidences would be -1,-2,-1, and -1 for a mean log evidence of - 1.25?

Yes, except that it is measured on the test set.

Rémi
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