Dear colleagues,

If you have unpublished structures that you can provide to CASP as modeling 
targets, please submit them through CASP web-interface:
https://predictioncenter.org/casp16/targets_submission_form.cgi or
email to targ...@predictioncenter.org.

Targets may be submitted starting now and until July 1. We would like to hear 
from you as soon as possible if you may have something suitable or have 
suggestions about other target sources. In order to maintain rigor, the 
experimental data for a target must not be publicly available until after 
computed structures have been collected. For assessment, CASP requires the 
experimental data by August 15, but the data can remain confidential after 
that. Target providers are invited to contribute to papers for a special CASP 
issue of the journal Proteins (see Ref. [11-15] below).

For details - continue reading...

CASP organizers: John Moult, Krzysztof Fidelis, Andriy Kryshtafovych,
Torsten Schwede, Maya Topf


CASP (Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction) experiments are held
every two years. Recent rounds have seen dramatic increases in modeling
accuracy, resulting from the introduction of deep learning methods: In
2018, for the first time, the folds of most proteins were correctly
computed [1]; in 2020, the accuracy of many computed protein structures
rivaled that of the corresponding experimental ones [2]; in 2022, there
was an enormous increase in the accuracy of protein complexes [3].

We have seen the beginning of what deep learning methods may achieve in
structural biology. In addition to further increases in the accuracy of
protein complexes, methods are being developed for RNA structures,
organic ligand-protein complexes, and for moving beyond single
macromolecular structures to compute conformational ensembles. Accurate
computational methods together with experimental data also offer the
prospect of probing previously inaccessible biological systems. CASP has
expanded its scope to provide critical assessment in all these areas.

CASP is only possible with the generous participation of the
experimental structural biology community in providing suitable targets:
A total of over 1100 targets have been obtained over the previous CASP
rounds. We are now requesting targets for the 2024 CASP16 experiment. We
need challenge targets in the following areas:

Single protein structures: The 2020 and 2022 CASPs showed that, so far,
Alphafold2 and methods built around it are by far the most accurate [4].
But there are limitations, particularly for some proteins where only a
shallow sequence alignment is available and for very large proteins
(more than 1000 amino acids). The best results also require substantial
amounts of computing resources, well beyond that of the AlphaFold2
default settings. Many new methods are continuing to appear and these
may remove some of the remaining difficulties. All types of protein
targets are needed, but especially those with shallow sequence
alignments, without structural templates, and large proteins.

Protein complexes: In the 2022 CASP15, advanced deep learning methods
were applied to protein complexes for the first time [5]. The result was
a huge improvement in accuracy compared with classical docking
approaches. But overall, the results are still not at the level achieved
for single proteins. So, in CASP16 we need all sorts of targets in this
area so as to determine progress since then. We particularly need
complexes where there is no evolutionary information across the
protein-protein interfaces, for example, antibody-antigen complexes.
(This CASP category is conducted in close collaboration with our
colleagues at CAPRI - Critical Assessment of protein interactions [6]).

Nucleic acid structures and complexes: In recognition of the major role
nucleic acid structures and complexes play in biology, CASP now includes
this class of target. A number of papers claiming successful RNA
structure computation using deep learning methods have been published,
but those participating in the 2022 CASP RNA category performed less
well than classical approaches, and no methods were able to effectively
address the two RNA protein-complexes included [7]. CASP needs a wide
variety of RNA, DNA, and complexes as targets to see if this situation
has changed. (This CASP category is conducted in close collaboration
with RNApuzzles [8]).

Organic ligand-protein complexes: This area is of major importance for
computer-aided drug discovery. Earlier, there have been community
experiments to assess the accuracy of methods, particularly SAMPL, CSAR,
D3R, and a new one, CACHE, has recently started (cache-challenge.org).
These challenges have drawn strong international participation from
researchers in both academia and industry. Here too, a number of
promising deep learning papers have appeared, but in the 2022 CASP15
pilot, classical methods were still superior [9]. So, we need
appropriate targets to see if progress has been made since. Ideally,
these should be sets of three-dimensional protein-ligand complexes from
drug discovery projects, but single targets would also be appreciated.
Additionally, where available, we will assess non-structural quantities
such as affinities or affinity rankings and other properties of
pharmaceutical interest when these are available (small molecule pKs,
and DMPK related properties).

Ensembles of macromolecule conformations: It is now widely recognized
that proteins and nucleic acids often adopt multiple conformations that
can underpin their functions. In these cases, considering only a single
protein or RNA conformation may be a significant oversimplification. The
2022 CASP15 included a pilot experiment to assess methods for computing
multiple conformations, with encouraging results [10], but with
limitations imposed by the available experimental data. For 2024, we
seek not only cases of multiple experimental three-dimensional
structures for the same macromolecule but also other types of data that
might be used for assessment of computed conformation ensembles such as
cryoEM, NMR, X-ray crystallography, SAXS, and/or cross-link data.

Integrative modeling: The more powerful computational methods open up
new possibilities for combination with sparse or low-resolution
experimental data to investigate previously inaccessible biological
structures and machines. CASP is interested in exploring these
possibilities and so requests experimentally difficult targets where
structure has nevertheless been obtained. In appropriate cases, we
expect to be able to collaborate with other experimental groups to
provide appropriate data from NMR, cross-linking or SAXS.

--

1. Kryshtafovych A, Schwede T, Topf M, Fidelis K, Moult J. Critical
assessment of methods of protein structure prediction (CASP)-Round XIII.
Proteins 2019;87(12):1011-1020.
2. Kryshtafovych A, Schwede T, Topf M, Fidelis K, Moult J. Critical
assessment of methods of protein structure prediction (CASP)-Round XIV.
Proteins 2021;89(12):1607-1617.
3. Kryshtafovych A, Schwede T, Topf M, Fidelis K, Moult J. Critical
assessment of methods of protein structure prediction (CASP)-Round XV.
Proteins 2023;91(12):1539-1549.
4. Simpkin AJ, Mesdaghi S, Sanchez Rodriguez F, Elliott L, Murphy DL,
Kryshtafovych A, Keegan RM, Rigden DJ. Tertiary structure assessment at
CASP15. Proteins 2023;91(12):1616-1635.
5. Ozden B, Kryshtafovych A, Karaca E. The impact of AI-based modeling
on the accuracy of protein assembly prediction: Insights from CASP15.
Proteins 2023;91(12):1636-1657.
6. Lensink MF, Brysbaert G, Raouraoua N, Bates PA, Giulini M, Honorato
RV, van Noort C, Teixeira JMC, Bonvin A, Kong R, Shi H, Lu X, Chang S,
Liu J, Guo Z, Chen X, Morehead A, Roy RS, Wu T, Giri N, Quadir F, Chen
C, Cheng J, Del Carpio CA, Ichiishi E, Rodriguez-Lumbreras LA,
Fernandez-Recio J, Harmalkar A, Chu LS, Canner S, Smanta R, Gray JJ, Li
H, Lin P, He J, Tao H, Huang SY, Roel-Touris J, Jimenez-Garcia B,
Christoffer CW, Jain AJ, Kagaya Y, Kannan H, Nakamura T, Terashi G,
Verburgt JC, Zhang Y, Zhang Z, Fujuta H, Sekijima M, Kihara D, Khan O,
Kotelnikov S, Ghani U, Padhorny D, Beglov D, Vajda S, Kozakov D, Negi
SS, Ricciardelli T, Barradas-Bautista D, Cao Z, Chawla M, Cavallo L,
Oliva R, Yin R, Cheung M, Guest JD, Lee J, Pierce BG, Shor B, Cohen T,
Halfon M, Schneidman-Duhovny D, Zhu S, Yin R, Sun Y, Shen Y,
Maszota-Zieleniak M, Bojarski KK, Lubecka EA, Marcisz M, Danielsson A,
Dziadek L, Gaardlos M, Gieldon A, Liwo A, Samsonov SA, Slusarz R, Zieba
K, Sieradzan AK, Czaplewski C, Kobayashi S, Miyakawa Y, Kiyota Y,
Takeda-Shitaka M, Olechnovic K, Valancauskas L, Dapkunas J, Venclovas C,
Wallner B, Yang L, Hou C, He X, Guo S, Jiang S, Ma X, Duan R, Qui L, Xu
X, Zou X, Velankar S, Wodak SJ. Impact of AlphaFold on structure
prediction of protein complexes: The CASP15-CAPRI experiment. Proteins
2023;91(12):1658-1683.
7. Das R, Kretsch RC, Simpkin AJ, Mulvaney T, Pham P, Rangan R, Bu F,
Keegan RM, Topf M, Rigden DJ, Miao Z, Westhof E. Assessment of
three-dimensional RNA structure prediction in CASP15. Proteins
2023;91(12):1747-1770.
8. Magnus M, Antczak M, Zok T, Wiedemann J, Lukasiak P, Cao Y, Bujnicki
JM, Westhof E, Szachniuk M, Miao Z. RNA-Puzzles toolkit: a computational
resource of RNA 3D structure benchmark datasets, structure manipulation,
and evaluation tools. Nucleic Acids Res 2020;48(2):576-588.
9. Robin X, Studer G, Durairaj J, Eberhardt J, Schwede T, Walters WP.
Assessment of protein-ligand complexes in CASP15. Proteins
2023;91(12):1811-1821.
10. Kryshtafovych A, Montelione GT, Rigden DJ, Mesdaghi S, Karaca E,
Moult J. Breaking the conformational ensemble barrier: Ensemble
structure modeling challenges in CASP15. Proteins 2023;91(12):1903-1911.
11. Kretsch RC, Andersen ES, Bujnicki JM, Chiu W, Das R, Luo B, Masquida
B, McRae EKS, Schroeder GM, Su Z, Wedekind JE, Xu L, Zhang K, Zheludev
IN, Moult J, Kryshtafovych A. RNA target highlights in CASP15:
Evaluation of predicted models by structure providers. Proteins
2023;91(12):1600-1615.
12. Alexander LT, Durairaj J, Kryshtafovych A, Abriata LA, Bayo Y,
Bhabha G, Breyton C, Caulton SG, Chen J, Degroux S, Ekiert DC, Erlandsen
BS, Freddolino PL, Gilzer D, Greening C, Grimes JM, Grinter R, Gurusaran
M, Hartmann MD, Hitchman CJ, Keown JR, Kropp A, Kursula P, Lovering AL,
Lemaitre B, Lia A, Liu S, Logotheti M, Lu S, Markusson S, Miller MD,
Minasov G, Niemann HH, Opazo F, Phillips GN, Jr., Davies OR, Rommelaere
S, Rosas-Lemus M, Roversi P, Satchell K, Smith N, Wilson MA, Wu KL, Xia
X, Xiao H, Zhang W, Zhou ZH, Fidelis K, Topf M, Moult J, Schwede T.
Protein target highlights in CASP15: Analysis of models by structure
providers. Proteins 2023;91(12):1571-1599.
13. Alexander LT, Lepore R, Kryshtafovych A, Adamopoulos A, Alahuhta M,
Arvin AM, Bomble YJ, Bottcher B, Breyton C, Chiarini V, Chinnam NB, Chiu
W, Fidelis K, Grinter R, Gupta GD, Hartmann MD, Hayes CS, Heidebrecht T,
Ilari A, Joachimiak A, Kim Y, Linares R, Lovering AL, Lunin VV, Lupas
AN, Makbul C, Michalska K, Moult J, Mukherjee PK, Nutt WS, Oliver SL,
Perrakis A, Stols L, Tainer JA, Topf M, Tsutakawa SE, Valdivia-Delgado
M, Schwede T. Target highlights in CASP14: Analysis of models by
structure providers. Proteins 2021;89(12):1647-1672.
14. Lepore R, Kryshtafovych A, Alahuhta M, Veraszto HA, Bomble YJ,
Bufton JC, Bullock AN, Caba C, Cao H, Davies OR, Desfosses A, Dunne M,
Fidelis K, Goulding CW, Gurusaran M, Gutsche I, Harding CJ, Hartmann MD,
Hayes CS, Joachimiak A, Leiman PG, Loppnau P, Lovering AL, Lunin VV,
Michalska K, Mir-Sanchis I, Mitra AK, Moult J, Phillips GN, Jr., Pinkas
DM, Rice PA, Tong Y, Topf M, Walton JD, Schwede T. Target highlights in
CASP13: Experimental target structures through the eyes of their
authors. Proteins 2019;87(12):1037-1057.
15. Kryshtafovych A, Albrecht R, Basle A, Bule P, Caputo AT, Carvalho
AL, Chao KL, Diskin R, Fidelis K, Fontes C, Fredslund F, Gilbert HJ,
Goulding CW, Hartmann MD, Hayes CS, Herzberg O, Hill JC, Joachimiak A,
Kohring GW, Koning RI, Lo Leggio L, Mangiagalli M, Michalska K, Moult J,
Najmudin S, Nardini M, Nardone V, Ndeh D, Nguyen TH, Pintacuda G, Postel
S, van Raaij MJ, Roversi P, Shimon A, Singh AK, Sundberg EJ, Tars K,
Zitzmann N, Schwede T. Target highlights from the first post-PSI CASP
experiment (CASP12, May-August 2016). Proteins 2018;86 Suppl 1(Suppl
1):27-50.

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