Have you considered the impact of tunneling?  Your rope crossings are not
perfect barriers.

On Sat, Jan 20, 2024 at 6:09 PM James Holton <jmhol...@lbl.gov> wrote:

> Update:
>
> I've gotten some feedback asking for clarity on what I mean by "tangled".
> I paste here a visual aid:
>
>
> The protein chains in an ensemble model are like these ropes. If these
> ropes are the same length as the distance from floor to ceiling, then
> straight up-and-down is the global minimum in energy (left). The anchor
> points are analogous to the rest of the protein structure, which is the
> same in both diagrams. Imagine for a moment, however, after anchoring the
> dangling rope ends to the floor you look up and see the ropes are actually
> crossed (right). You got the end points right, but no amount of pulling on
> the ropes (energy minimization) is going to get you from the tangled
> structure to the global minimum. The tangled ropes are also strained,
> because they are being forced to be a little longer than they want to be.
> This strain in protein models manifests as geometry outliers and the
> automatic weighting in your refinement program responds to bad geometry by
> relaxing the x-ray weight, which alleviates some of the strain, but
> increases your Rfree.
>
> The goal of this challenge is to eliminate these tangles, and do it
> efficiently. What we need is a topoisomerase! Something that can find the
> source of strain and let the ropes pass through each other at the
> appropriate place.  I've always wanted one of those for the wires behind my
> desk...
>
> More details on the origins of tangling in ensemble models can be found
> here:
> https://bl831.als.lbl.gov/~jamesh/challenge/twoconf/#tangle
>
> -James Holton
> MAD Scientist
>
> On 1/18/2024 4:33 PM, James Holton wrote:
>
> Greetings Everybody,
>
> I present to you a Challenge.
>
> Structural biology would be far more powerful if we can get our models out
> of local minima, and together, I believe we can find a way to escape them.
>
> tldr: I dare any one of you to build a model that scores better than my
> "best.pdb" model below. That is probably impossible, so I also dare you to
> approach or even match "best.pdb" by doing something more clever than just
> copying it. Difficulty levels range from 0 to 11. First one to match the
> best.pdb energy score an Rfree wins the challenge, and I'd like you to be
> on my paper. You have nine months.
>
> Details of the challenge, scoring system, test data, and available
> starting points can be found here:
> https://bl831.als.lbl.gov/~jamesh/challenge/twoconf/
>
> Why am I doing this?
> We all know that macromolecules adopt multiple conformations. That is how
> they function. And yet, ensemble refinement still has a hard time competing
> with conventional single-conformer-with-a-few-split-side-chain models when
> it comes to revealing correlated motions, or even just simultaneously
> satisfying density data and chemical restraints. That is, ensembles still
> suffer from the battle between R factors and geometry restraints. This is
> because the ensemble member chains cannot pass through each other, and get
> tangled. The tangling comes from the density, not the chemistry. Refinement
> in refmac, shelxl, phenix, simulated annealing, qFit, and even coot cannot
> untangle them.
>
> The good news is: knowledge of chemistry, combined with R factors, appears
> to be a powerful indicator of how near a model is to being untangled. What
> is really exciting is that the genuine, underlying ensemble cannot be
> tangled. The true ensemble _defines_ the density; it is not being fit to
> it. The more untangled a model gets the closer it comes to the true
> ensemble, with deviations from reasonable chemistry becoming easier and
> easier to detect. In the end, when all alternative hypotheses have been
> eliminated, the model must match the truth.
>
> Why can't we do this with real data? Because all ensemble models are
> tangled. Let's get to untangling them, shall we?
>
> To demonstrate, I have created a series of examples that are progressively
> more difficult to solve, but the ground truth model and density is the same
> in all cases. Build the right model, and it will not only explain the data
> to within experimental error, and have the best possible validation stats,
> but it will reveal the true, underlying cooperative motion of the protein
> as well.
>
> Unless, of course, you can prove me wrong?
>
> -James Holton
> MAD Scientist
>
>
>
>
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