While I concur with the natural foods theory we are forgetting that at
this time of year many of "our" passerines have dispersed or moved
southward to some degree. Many of our fall and winter feeder birds are
those that have bred in Canada and come south for the winter. While
that's just beginning around here, the ADK has had a growing influx.
Over the course of 31 years of banding here we determined three groups
of Black-capped Chickadees, a small year around group, another that
breeds here and moves as far south and west as Kentucky/Tennessee for
the winter and a third that breeds in Quebec and Ontario and comes here
for the winter. A few other species do the same. I'm sure everyone has
noted the huge congregate flocks of Robins that will soon move SSW while
some will remain. There is so much food up north that I have little hope
for the projections of a finchy winter here although they are all in the
ADK in nice numbers. 

Lastly, a slightly irreverent explanation from the West Side is gaining
in popularity. See <http://www.gocomics.com/closetohome/2017/10/24> 

John 

---
John and Sue Gregoire
Field Ornithologists
Kestrel Haven Migration Observatory
5373 Fitzgerald Rd
Burdett, NY 14818
42.443508000, -76.758202000 

On 2017-10-25 19:08, t...@fltg.net wrote:

> Our (mostly red) oak trees had a huge mast year two years ago, but last year 
> and this year the acorns have been at more normal production levels. Red oaks 
> have a two year cycle for acorn production - the flowers from this year are 
> next year's acorns - so it could be that 2018 will be another big year for 
> acorns in our woods.
> 
> Cones & other nuts do seem abundant wherever we look, but I assumed it was 
> because this has been the first year in several that we didn't have an 
> ill-timed cold snap or drought during a crucial part of the growing season.  
> On our property we had almost no walnuts last year & I am certain that was 
> b/c of a bad cold snap just after pollination that seemed to kill most of the 
> tiny fruit, followed by an extended period without rain later in the growing 
> season.  There have been a couple of cold/warm/cold/warm periods in early 
> spring during the past five years and several kinds of fruit and nut trees 
> were affected. Perhaps the trees have energy on hand from those years when 
> they couldn't develop fruit, and can pour that energy into extra production 
> this year?  
> 
> While cold snaps & droughts also are connected to climate change, my guess is 
> that this year's abundance had more to do with these factors rather than with 
> warming - it wasn't all that warm in central NYS this summer [1], for one 
> thing!
> 
> Alicia
> 
> P.S.  Birders on the Maine bird list have similar complaints about the 
> disappearance of their feeder birds, with similar conclusions that it likely 
> is due to unusual amounts of food in the wild. 
> 
> ----- Original Message -----
> 
> From: Betsy Darlington <darlingtonb...@gmail.com> 
> To: "Marc Devokaitis" <mdevokai...@gmail.com>
> Cc: "Barbara B. Eden" <b...@cornell.edu>, "CAYUGABIRDS-L" 
> <cayugabird...@list.cornell.edu>
> Sent: Wed, 25 Oct 2017 12:47:44 -0400
> Subject: Re: [cayugabirds-l] Where are all my feeder birds
> 
> I wonder if all these trees are putting out "stress cones/seeds," caused by 
> the accelerating warming.  Or do they just like being so warm? 
> Betsy 
> 
> On Wed, Oct 25, 2017 at 11:54 AM, Marc Devokaitis <mdevokai...@gmail.com> 
> wrote:
> 
> Hi All, 
> Re-opening this thread--I thought I'd share with the list a comment from 
> Donald Leopold, Chair of the Department of Environmental and Forest Biology 
> at SUNY-ESF (I was asking him about something else, but this came up.) 
> 
> "Not only are conifers producing an extraordinary abundance of cones but I 
> have never seen such an abundance of walnuts, hickories, oak acorns, sugar 
> maple and white ash samaras, and other tree fruits and seeds. Interestingly, 
> I've seen this above average production across the Northeast." 
> 
> Hopefully this goes a long way to explaining the increase in decreases this 
> year. 
> 
> Marc Devokaitis 
> 
> On Wed, Oct 18, 2017 at 12:46 PM, Barbara B. Eden <b...@cornell.edu> wrote:
> 
> For the past 2 months the resident birds that I daily feed have dropped in 
> population This is the first time this has happened and even those pesky 
> squirrels have left I live in Cayuga Heights and my backyard is a bird 
> friendly habitat
> Any thoughts would be appreciated 
> Thanks
> Barbara Eden
> 
> Sent using OWA for iPhone 
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