-----Original Message-----
From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of ALBERTO VIEIRA FERREIRA MONTEIRO
Sent: Friday, November 09, 2012 3:17 AM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Obama II

So... What about Obama's reelection?

>Here in Brazil, we had the impression that the Republicans "chose" the
worst possible candidate,
>someone they put there to lose. Or maybe the Democrats voted in the
Republican primaries to make him 
>win.

We have a primary system in the US.  Right now, the extreme right wing of
the Repubican party can force candidates far to the right.  Good Republican
candidates stayed on the sideline this year, leaving Romney and the 7 right
wing dwarfs.  

>Did anyone over there ever think that Mitt Romney had _any_ chance?

I did, especially after the first debate.  No American president has been
re-elected with more than 7.2% unemployment since FDR, and he brought
employment way down.  This has been probably the most painful ecconomic
period (in terms of changes) since WWII.  That's a strong headwind.  When
Obama sleptwalked through the first debate, and Romney was ahead in the
national polls, I thought it was a toss up. Especially after the UN speech
which totally misidentified the cause of the deaths in Lybia after the
administration had intelligence that pointed to terrorism, not a crowd gone
wild.  But, Romney blew the 2nd and 3rd debate, Obama...for the first time
in the campaign, acted as though he wanted to be reelected, and Sandy
cemented in the American mind the positive roll the Federal government can
play.  By election Eve, Gautam and I were arguing about the margin.  He was
spot on, I though Romney would take VA, CO, and FL.

Dan M. 


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