On Sat, Nov 15, 2008 at 7:11 PM, Ronn! Blankenship <
[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:

>
>
> History and myth also show that the one thing which is much worse
> than a prognosticator whose predictions are unreliable is one whose
> predictions are 100% accurate.


A member of Congress once pointed that out to me, as we talked about
political polls and such.  She said that whenever somebody comes up with a
truly accurate polling system, people get excited, praise it... and fairly
soon, stop paying for it in favor of polls that tell them what they wanted
to hear.  Human nature being what it is, at least among politicians, people
ultimately want to hear confirmation, not reality.

This came as I was doing a startup that was showing very good predictive
capabilities.

Nick
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