On Sep 19, 2008, at 10:39 AM, Julia Thompson wrote:

> On Fri, 19 Sep 2008, Kevin B. O'Brien wrote:
>
>> John Garcia wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>> there could be zero (0) fraud cases and Republicans would still be  
>>> against
>>> any form of personal welfare (they are divided on corporate  
>>> welfare) because
>>> personal welfare is against their political philosophy.
>>>
>> Unless, of course, you are talking about farmers, who as a class  
>> are the
>> largest personal welfare recipients in the entire world.
>
> Which could arguably be cast as a special case of corporate  
> welfare....
>
>       Julia

A very special case indeed, given the rather unique economic  
environment in which farmers operate.

(I was thinking about this a lot over the past couple of weeks, having  
had to commute daily past some fields of dead corn killed by our  
latest drought down here.)

Farming involves a very large front-end investment in land, equipment,  
and infrastructure that typically only pays off a few times a year at  
most, and then only if the weather cooperates.  If every crop planted  
yields an optimal harvest, in the best case, the farm has a large sunk  
cost literally sitting in the ground until the harvest provides some  
income, and even then the farm is somewhat at the mercy of the market  
in which the harvested crop is sold.  There's very little safety  
margin in those numbers even without a crop failure, which takes that  
meager payoff out of the equation and leaves only the sunk costs,  
which is a fairly large loss.

(That's not counting the factory-farm neighbors who plant GMO crops  
and hose them down with Roundup and insecticides all season, killing  
half your crop with the overspray, dwindling availability of  
pollinators due to honeybee CCD, and a whole host of other threats to  
small family farms.  FDA "organic" certification does provide a small  
measure of relief in terms of being able to be paid more for the crop  
you *can* produce, but there's a fairly large additional investment  
involved in that and it can be a gamble in terms of going for it,  
because it takes several years to meet the certification criteria  
before you can see those returns on it.)

Farm subsidies are there basically to prevent the collapse of the farm  
industry and keep farmers in business, because the farming business is  
so economically anomalous the normal economic rules don't apply to it  
very well at all.  And we are talking about our *food supply* here ..  
we made that bed a few thousand years ago, and with our current  
population/resource balance, we've pretty much got to lie in it ..  
it's either subsidies or we give up applying industrial economics to  
farming and create a special economic class just for it.  And that  
latter is anathema to most American politicians.


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