On Sep 2, 2008, at 10:42 AM, Nick Arnett wrote:

>>>> Honestly, what _short-term_ effect will drilling in Anwar and on  
>>>> our
>>> coasts
>>> have on prices?
>>
>> The real question about drilling in areas that have been off limits  
>> until
>> now is when do we do it?  The record of spills from oil well  
>> drilling has
>> been very good; the real damage has occurred in the transportation  
>> of the
>> oil.
>
>
> IIRC, the concerns about Anwar are not about possible oil spills, it  
> is the
> environmental impact of the whole operation, even if nothing goes  
> wrong.
>
> Nick


A good indicator of how much environmental impact there would be is  
the drilling currently taking place on the North Slope.  Everything  
needed to support the drilling crews and equipment -- and I mean  
everything, food, living supplies, drilling mud, logging/analysis  
equipment, the rigs themselves -- has to be trucked in on the Haul  
Road, and all the waste has to be trucked back down south for  
disposal, so the drilling crews are very good at not wasting any more  
than necessary, and their survival depends on not damaging too much of  
the permafrost they're sitting on, so "leave no trace" is sort of an  
economic necessity up there.  I don't see why the lessons learned up  
there can't be applied to drilling in ANWR, if there's enough  
petroleum there to be worth it.

(IIRC, the oil companies themselves aren't all that convinced that the  
petroleum reserves in ANWR are worth the cost of drilling to get at  
them, environmental damage or not.  It's possible they could choose  
strategic spots and horizontal-drill fairly large areas of the  
reservoirs from those few spots, which they do anyway in a lot of  
producing areas nowadays anyway, but is there enough oil down there to  
recover the cost of drilling for it?  How much geological surveying  
has really been done up there, honestly?)

"I don't believe there's a power in the 'verse can stop Kaylee from  
bein' cheerful. Sometimes you just wanna duct-tape her mouth and dump  
her in the hold for a month." -- Capt. Mal Reynolds, "Serenity"

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