On 30 Jul 2008, at 19:31, Dan M wrote: > > >> -----Original Message----- >> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:brin-l- >> [EMAIL PROTECTED] On >> Behalf Of William T Goodall >> Sent: Wednesday, July 30, 2008 10:30 AM >> To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion >> Subject: Re: Genesis >> >> >> On 30 Jul 2008, at 15:46, Alberto Monteiro wrote: >> >>> Dan M wrote: >>>> >>>> There is no evidence that, if the United States decided >>>> to fade away as continental Europe is doing, instead of >>>> having a ZPG birth rate, (...) >>>> >>> Brazil is fading away too. Last count is 1.8 births/female. >>> >> >> >> Below the UK and France but well above Thailand (1.5) and South Korea >> (1.1). >> >> Patterns Maru > > It's an interesting topic. The CIA factbook has estimates for 2008 > (estimates most likely based on 2007 and 2006 data) at > > https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2127ra > nk.html > > http://tinyurl.com/3yur88 > > It has the UK at 1.6, falling below Brazil.....which it gives at 1.86. > > The UK number may not be an outlandish estimate because the UN has > the UK at > 1.7 between 2000 and 2005. I'm not arguing with Brazil's number, > but it > does represent a big drop from 2000-2005: (2.35).
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/nugget.asp?id=369 "The provisional Total Fertility Rate (TFR) for 2007 gives an average of 1.91 children per woman in England and Wales. This is an increase from 1.86 in 2006 and is the sixth consecutive annual increase from a low point in 2001 where the TFR was 1.63. The last time the TFR exceeded 1.91 was 34 years ago in 1973 when it was 2.00. The number of live births in England and Wales increased for the sixth successive year in 2007. " Not the CIA Maru -- William T Goodall Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED] Web : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/ "Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities." ~Voltaire. _______________________________________________ http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
