On 3 Dec 2007, at 16:04, Nick Arnett wrote:

> On Dec 3, 2007 1:41 AM, William T Goodall <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>  
> wrote:
>
>>
>> Darwin's theory of evolution met a far more skeptical audience which
>> might surprise some outsiders as the United States is renowned for  
>> its
>> excellence in scientific research.
>
>
> This demonstrates that skepticism leads to better science, right?


You're arguing that evolution is bad science?

>
>
> I say that only because anti-religious people constantly confuse  
> correlation
> with causality.  It's only fair if I do, too, even though it is  
> terribly
> unscientific.  But hey, I'm an American.  Stimulated by being  
> surrounded by
> those who are skeptical of science, I strive to excel.
>
> Seriously, though, confusing correlation and causality has become my  
> main
> problem with your anti-religious postings, William.  If you're going  
> to
> argue that religion is anti-scientific and causes all sorts of  
> social ills,
> it seems that you have no freedom do simply cite all sorts of  
> correlations.
> You have to show causality -- that religion *causes* evil, no just  
> that they
> co-occur.

You sound like the tobacco lobby claiming that cigarettes don't cause  
cancer!

>
>
> It is basic to statistics that when things correlate, the cause  
> often is a
> third factor.  The coexistence of religion and evil isn't exactly  
> news, now
> is it?
>
> Let me suggest the sort of third factor that could cause the  
> correlation
> between fundamentalist religion and creationism: greed and fear --  
> leaders'
> greed for money and political power; followers' fear of what might  
> happen if
> they misbehave.  Keeping people ignorant has been a tool of greedy  
> people,
> religious or not, for all of history.  It is demagoguery and  
> religion has no
> corner on it.
>
> It's bad science use correlations to say that religion is to blame for
> evil.  It's like saying that hospitals obviously are the cause of  
> disease
> because a survey showed that a high percentage of people who go to  
> hospitals
> are sick.  Correlation does not imply causality.

It certainly indicates somewhere to look very closely for it though.  
And when multiple indicators all point the same way you need a much  
better counter-argument than appealing to 'correlation does not imply  
causality.'
>
>
>>
>> The survey, which has a sampling error of plus or minus two percent,
>> found that 35 percent of the respondents believed in UFOs and 31
>> percent in witches.
>
>
> How many of the UFO believers imagine that dolphins could fly  
> spaceships?
> Now that's truly bizarre.


When people are encouraged to believe any old nonsense they choose as  
a matter of 'faith' it is not surprising that they lose the ability to  
discriminate in other areas too.

-- 
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

"There's no chance that the iPhone is going to get any significant  
market share. No chance" - Steve Ballmer


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