Gwern Branwen wrote:
>
>> Is there any serious attempt to apply Science Fiction methods
>> to Actuarial Science?
>>
>> It amazes me that Actuarial Science takes a cohort of people
>> in their 20s and then projects their economical future until
>> they die - which may happen 100 years from now.
>
> Not really following you here. I don't think it's amazing - I
> think it works, as evidenced by the fact that the life insurance
> is a viable business which at the very least shows that it's a
> more rational model of calculating life spans than most people
> use.
>
It (sort of) worked until now. There's no guarantee that the
system will work forever.

> Are you referring to people like Aubrey de Grey and his SENS, or
> the so-called actuarial escape velocity?
>
Never heard of them.

Alberto Monteiro
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