I'm jumping in a little late here, and will get to Doug's post on
Chapter 1 in a moment, but I thought that I'd also post some
thoughts on the Introduction.

The introduction reads a bit like an executive summary of the book.
Diamond opens by defining "collapse", the subject of the book, as a
drastic decrease in human population size; or in social complexity,
or both, over a considerable area and for an extended time.   He
contrasts the "collapse" that will be studied in this book with
milder forms of "decline", such as those linked to the rise of a
neighbor, or else a revolution  or other social restructuring.

Diamond's main thesis is that five factors contribute to the
collapse: environmental damage, climate change, hostile neighbors,
the loss of friendly trade partners, and societal response to
environmental damage and changing climate.  Diamond argues that the
last of these proves significant in almost all, if not all, cases of
civilization collapse.   His point is that collapse is not
inevitable, but is deeply influenced by the choices made by
different civilizations.

Diamond also introduces the concept of "ecocide" to describe
civilizational collapse caused by failure to respond to
environmental factors.  He identifies 12 factors leading to ecocide,
8 traditional ones - deforestation, soil degradation, water
management problems, overhunting, overfishing, introduced species,
increased population, and increased population density; as well as 4
modern ones - human-caused climate change, buildup of toxic
chemicals in the environment, energy shortages, and full human
utilization of Earth's photosynthetic capacity.


**********************************************************

Reflecting on this summary, I already have a number of comments and
criticisms.

First, perhaps the most intriguging of the above 12 categories
leading to ecocide is "full human utilization of the Earth's
photosynthetic capacity."   He doesn't really address it in the
introduction, so we'll have to see just what he means by that.  His
limiting of climate change to human-caused-only also threw me off
for a bit, but I guess the point is that true "ecocide" must, by
definition, be self-inflected.  Non-human-caused climate change is
anywas addressed as one of the five collapse factors.

Secondly, Diamond makes clear in his introduction that one of his
major examples will be the collapse of the Anasazi (sic)
civilization in the Southwest United States.   I'm already looking
forward to this Chapter as I spent my Independence Day holiday
visiting five National Parks which preserve various ruins from this
civilizational.  One of the things the National Park Service
emphasized is that the term "Ancestral Puebloan" is preferred for
this civilization over the term "Anasazi."   The term "Anasazi" is
linked to a Navajo word meaning "ancient enemy."  Additionally, most
historians now agree that the ancestors of the modern-day Puebloan
people in Arizona and New Mexico are, in fact, the same people who
constructed the ruins that had been termed "Anasazi" in origin.
Although I am generally a "brontosaurus" person, preferring the use
of popular terms, I can also definitely sympathize with the
arguments in favor of not defining a culture as an "enemy."  Thus,
Diamond's choice of the term "Anasazi" instead of "Ancestral
Puebloan" immediately perks my interest - hopefully it is explained
later on.

Continuing on this point, Diamond states rather affirmatively that
the collapse of the Ancestral Puebloan culture "clearly illustrates
the intersection of environmental damage and population growth with
climate change (..drought).  Neither freindly or hostile neighbors,
nor (except towards the end) warfare, appear to have been major
factors in the Anasazi (sic) collapse."   This paragraph is much
more definitive that the interpretation currently provided by the
National Park Service, which emphasizes that the causes of the
abandonment of the major ruin sites is largely unknown, and is
likely due to a mix of factors.  Additionally, the National Park
Service emphasizes that the people who built the ruins at places
like Mesa Verde, Chaco Canyon, and Aztec Ruins (no relation to the
Aztec culture of Mexico) did not disappear, but in fact moved
South.   These people went on to other achievements, including the
construction of the large pueblos at Gran Quivira, Abo, and Quarai
in New Mexico, and the production of numerous petroglyphs at the
present-day site of Albuquerque.   It will be interesting to see if,
and how, Diamond addresses this in his chapter on this subject.

JDG




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