----- Original Message ----- 
From: "William T Goodall" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, August 01, 2005 6:59 PM
Subject: Re: Gulags


>
> http://www.spr.org/en/academicarticles/odonnell.html


> "Why is it that an aspect of prison life that appears to be so
> tightly woven into the prisoner's experience in the United States is
> not to be found in any concentrated form in the UK?"

I've followed this discussion, and it is interesting that this one report's
findings was accepted without any thought to cross referencing.  So, I
decided to do that.

First, almost by coincidence, the Justice department has released the first
official survey of rape in US prisons.

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20050731/us_nm/rights_rape_dc_1

There were less than 4000 reported cases of inmate-on-inmate rapes last
year.  That translates into about a 0.2% probability for a person in
prison.  The report itself indicated that this number was low, giving a
number of reasons why prisoners would not be forthcoming about being raped.

So, I'll not pretend that the US number is low.  But, this report indicates
that the reported rape rate in US prisions is low....which can be compared
to the survey results in GB.  Unless one can show that there is not
significant underreporting in surveys in GB, like there is in the official
US report, then one needs to consider that the differences are the
differences when one compares apples and oranges.

Second, there is the question of the "more polite" British society.  Well,
for a more polite society, the violent crime rate is very
high....significantly higher than the US. Looking at the Ecconomist report:

http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=513031

one sees that the British report having experienced violent crime at twice
the rate seen in the US. There is a greater than 5x difference in the rates
of car theft.

One might ask, but what about official reported numbers?  They are about
the same.  It's interesting that the officially reported violent crime rate
and the survey crime rate in the US are about the same, while the survey
crime rate in the UK is 2x higher than the official police number.

Officially reported rape rates have been changing substantially in both the
US and the UK...in different directions. In the US, it's fallen from about
0.25% to about 0.05% between the mid-70s and 2003 (the last reporting year.
In GB, I only have numbers going back to '95, but during that time the
officially reported rape rate increased from .009% to .025%.  Clearly the
gap is rapidly shrinking.

All this is occuring even though the demographics for the UK doesn't show
the second peak in the 10-25 age range that the US does.  Since young males
are responsible for much of the crime, this alone could be responsible for
about a 10% difference in the crime rate.

In short, the numbers do not lead one to easy conclusions....except the
obvious one, prisoners are hesitant to complain about being raped in
prison.

Dan M.



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