At 11:11 PM 8/31/2004 -0400 Bryon Daly wrote:
>On Tue, 31 Aug 2004 20:44:26 -0400, JDG <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>> At 12:33 PM 8/31/2004 -0400 Bryon Daly wrote:
>> >I don't think so either.  I think despite McCain's loyalty to the
>> >party in campaigning for and endorsing Bush (and rejecting the Kerry
>> >VP offer), he will be remembered by the Republicans far more for his
>> >few small "disloyalties" like his assorted criticisms of Bush over the
>> >years, his weak Bush endorsement, and words of praise for Kerry.
>> >Given the close race, I think that these small things will be given
>> >exagerated weight, and he will be a major scapegoat if Bush loses.
>> 
>> You missed the biggest one... you have to be pro-life to win the Republican
>> primaries, and McCain has gained a reputation as being insufficiently
>> pro-life.
>
>Really?  I had thought one of the serious sticking points that kept him from 
>taking the Kerry VP spot was his pro-life position.

True also.   McCain has managed to strike a middle-of-the-road position on
abortion that ends up pleasing noone. 

At the core of it is that while McCain has generally cast mostly pro-life
votes, he has never appeared to speak from the heart about the pro-life
issue, and most critically of all, has said that he would consider
appointing justices who actually believe that Roe vs. Wade was a decent
piece of jurisprudence.

>If not the pres nomination itself, do you think McCain has a chance to get a 
>Republican VP offer?

First, I think that McCain's age is such that he probably would not accept
the VP slot.   The VP slot is generally seen these days as primarily a
ticket to the nomination in 8 years.   McCain isn't sure he wants to run
for President in 2008, let alone in 2016.

Secondly, McCain was widely mooted as a potential VP candidate in 2000, and
the pro-life faction of the Republican Party made it abundantly clear that
they would be very displeased to have someone whom they viewed as
insufficiently pro-life only a heartbeat away from the Presidency, and the
heir apparent for 2008.   Moreover, Bush himself did not exactly have
strong pro-life bona fides in 2000, and thus needed to shore up support
from the pro-life faction of the Republican base with a pro-life running
mate.    The nominee in 2008 could easily be in a similar predicament.

JDG

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