On Wed, Mar 24, 2004 at 08:52:02AM -0800, Gautam Mukunda wrote:
> 
> http://www.foreignaffairs.org/20040501faessay83301/daniel-w-drezner/the-outsourcing-bogeyman.html

Excellent article! Thanks for posting the link.

Here it is in a more easily clickable form:

http://tinyurl.com/2wg84

As for his suggestions on how to help the people affected by offshoring,
I think he has one bad and one good.

> The problem of offshore outsourcing is less one of economics than of
> psychology -- people feel that their jobs are threatened. The best
> way to help those actually affected, and to calm the nerves of those
> who fear that they will be, is to expand the criteria under which
> the Trade Adjustment Assistance (TAA) program applies to displaced
> workers.  Currently, workers cannot apply for TAA unless overall
> sales or production in their sector declines. In the case of offshore
> outsourcing, however, productivity increases allow for increased
> production and sales -- making TAA out of reach for those affected by
> it. It makes sense to rework TAA rules to take into account workers
> displaced by offshore outsourcing even when their former industries or
> firms maintain robust levels of production.

TAA has been found to be largely ineffective. It encourages people to
stay out of work longer since it provides a disincentive to take a lower
paying job. One study (Decker and Corson, Industrial and Labor Relations
Review v48 July 1995) found that those who went through the training
program did NOT find better-paying jobs than those who did not attend
the program.

One alternative proposal is to only pay the displaced workers AFTER
they find a new job, and only if their new salary is lower than
their old salary. This provides a strong incentive to find a new job
quickly, while partially compensating them for any loss in income (the
compensation would phase out with time so they would still have an
incentive to keep looking for a higher paying job which frequently means
they have an incentive to train in an in-demand skill)

> Another option would be to help firms purchase targeted insurance
> policies to offset the transition costs to workers directly affected
> by offshore outsourcing. Because the perception of possible
> unemployment is considerably greater than the actual likelihood of
> losing a job, insurance programs would impose a very small cost on
> firms while relieving a great deal of employee anxiety. McKinsey
> Global Institute estimates that such a scheme could be created for
> as little as four or five cents per dollar saved from offshore
> outsourcing. IBM recently announced the creation of a two-year, $25
> million retraining fund for its employees who fear job losses from
> outsourcing. Having the private sector handle the problem without
> extensive government intervention would be an added bonus.

Now THIS idea I like. I've often thought that the world needs employment
insurance that really behaves like insurance (costs based on risks and
market rates, etc.) instead of like a handout that current "unemployment
insurance" provides.


-- 
Erik Reuter   http://www.erikreuter.net/
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