--- Dan Minette <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> What do you think of Gautam's argument that a swift
> military victory in
> Iraq will turn the support numbers around, like the
> victory over Argentina
> did for Maggie?
> 
> Dan M.

I should note that I think that's true for the British
public, but not necessarily for the Labour MPs.  Tony
Blair is "New Labour", but there aren't that many of
them in the actual Parliament, most of which is made
up of "Old Labour."  And "Old Labour" is so profoundly
hostile to force in general and the US in particular
that I doubt they would be more sympathetic to us no
matter _what_ happens during the war.  The best we
could hope for is that the MPs would notice that their
constituency does not support them in that.

There's also a possibility - small, but real, that
Blair (who really does have more in common with the
Tories than most of his own party) and the New
Labourites might split with Old Labour.  I don't think
it's likely, but the possibility is being talked
about, at least.

Gautam

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