----- Original Message -----
From: "Julia Thompson" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Sunday, February 23, 2003 5:43 PM
Subject: Re: EU Warns Iraq It Faces 'Last Chance'


>
> For congressional districts, if there's a bias one way or the other, you
go
> with the group more heavily weighted in your district.
>
> I think that Marvin's congressman would do well to court the peaceniks.
My
> congressman would do a lot better to court the hawks.  I'm basing this on
> what sort of people are more likely to live in each district.

My assumption is that each Congressman and each Senator is very well
attuned to what it takes to get elected in his or her district.  The "no
war under any circumstances" 10% is located in the left wing of the
Democratic party.  Republicans need not court this faction.  Democrats
have to have these voters in their camp without worrying about catering to
them.  If they cater to them, they risk losing the middle, which tends to
lose elections.  For the last two elections, the Republican true believers
have been much better at supporting candidates that can win than the
Democratic true believers.

Dan M.



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