On Sun, Feb 23, 2003 at 04:11:59PM -0600, Julia Thompson wrote:

> If it were the Congressional district I live in, I doubt that the
> current Congressman would have much to worry about from that group,
> because the demographics of this district would likely have a much
> smaller representation than the 10% given above.  If I lived in
> the Congressional district Marvin lives in, I would be a lot more
> concerned, because there's a much higher proportion of them than the
> 10%.  Then again, *that* Congressman feels more closely to the way
> that 10% feels than *my* Congressman does, so he has less to fear
> from that group than a challenger probably would.  (These are the two
> members of Congress I know the most about off the top of my head.)
>
> Beyond that, at the state or national level, I'd go with the study on
> how likely they were to vote before I changed my actions with respect
> to their opinion.
>
> Politics gets to be a very pragmatic game.  Figuring out just who
> you're dealing with goes a long way.

Julia, you are forgetting the most important thing: the group I was
talking about holds relatively extreme peace views. They are actually
outnumbered more than 2 to 1 by people that hold the opposite hawkish
views. While I'm sure it isn't exactly zero-sum, it is probably close --
if you court one group you lose the other.



-- 
"Erik Reuter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>       http://www.erikreuter.net/
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