http://www.newsmax.com/showinsidecover.shtml?a=2003/2/6/164221

If Russia's sharply declining birth rate is any indication, depopulation,
and not an overabundance of humans straining Earth's resources, is the real
threat humanity faces.

Russia, writes Dr. Herbert London, president of Hudson Institute and the
John M. Olin Professor of Humanities at New York University, is providing a
lesson for the world of the dangers of depopulation.

And the problem of depopulation isn't merely Russia's - the whole Western
world is facing a crisis of declining populations. Canada's National Post
columnist Mark Steyn recently wrote that Italy's population decline matches
Russia's.

"Because the state needs a birth rate of 2.1 children to maintain a stable
population," Steyn revealed. "In Italy, it's now 1.2. Twenty years ago, a
million babies were born there each year. Now it's half a million. And the
fewer babies you have today, the fewer babies are around to have babies in
20 years.

"Once you're as far down the death spiral as Italy is, it's hard to reverse.
Most European races are going to be out of business in a couple more
generations."

Noting the Wall Street Journal's prediction Jan. 24 that "The world's
population could decline by nearly 500 million people by 2075," London wrote
in the Hudson Institute's American Outlook, "As notable as this statistic
is, it pales in comparison to the demographic condition in Russia at the
moment.

"The most recent predictions indicate a decline in the Russian population of
twenty million people in the next decade due to an excessively low birthrate
of 1.2 children per family (well below replacement level) and a rise in the
death rate because of widespread alcoholism and the spread of disease.

"According to one Professor Antonov, 'Two thirds of Russian territory is
settled now as sparsely as it was in the Neolithic Age: less than one person
per square kilometer. In other words, east of the Urals, a demographic
wasteland is superimposed on the geographic wasteland.'"

London blames "a dramatic decline in the desire for reproduction among the
younger generation," explaining that "the prevalence of one-child families,
the decline in the number of recorded marriages, the increase in
cohabitation, and the rise in divorce are all symptoms of this condition."

Breakdown of the Family

London ascribes much of the problem to "the virtual breakdown of the
traditional family." Another source, he warns, is an emerging belief
"virtually unchallenged in social science that divorce and 'only-children
families' are actually desirable conditions that must be protected. An
undeclared war is being conducted against those who identify a crisis in the
family and a resulting demographic implosion."

As a result of all of this, "if nothing dramatic occurs in Russia, to
encourage larger families, the retreat from childbearing will continue and
accelerate. Two children in a family will certainly no longer be the norm
and, as a consequence, Russia could become a nation of only one hundred
million in thirty years (it is about 149 million today)."

This sharp decline, London predicts, "could decide Russia's geopolitical
fate. A decline of fifty million people could undermine the territorial
integrity of that vast nation." The decline could also "undermine any effort
to create industrial market capitalism, which depends on mass production and
mass markets."

Accompanying the collapse of the family, London said, is a social atmosphere
that produces "a revision in cultural perspectives has led to an
unprecedented level of prestige bestowed on homosexual behavior as well as
evidence of an increased rate of suicide."

Such conditions, he warned "not only threaten the familial foundation of
civilization, but human self-preservation itself."

Russia, along with much of the West, "is in the midst of an historic
revolution that is weakening the family, devaluing the role of children, and
threatening depopulation ... It is no exaggeration to contend that Russia's
future, and perhaps the fate of other nations, depends on the restoration of
family- and child- centered lives. A relentless drive for consumer
gratification and self-fulfillment have taken us down a path that threatens
societal well being," he wrote.

Steyn's outlook is even gloomier, and he blames abortion as on of the prime
causes of depopulation. "A society whose political class elevates 'a woman's
right to choose' above 'go forth and multiply' is a society with a death
wish," he wrote. And "today we're the endangered species, not the spotted
owl. We're the dwindling resource, not the oil."

Steyn recommends: "Next time you're in a rundown diner and the 17-year-old
waitress is eight months pregnant, don't tut "What a tragedy" and point her
to the nearest Planned Parenthood clinic. Leave her a large tip instead.
She's doing the right thing, not just for her, but for all of us."



xponent
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________________________________
You are a fluke of the universe.
You have no right to be here.
And whether you can hear it or not,
the universe is laughing behind your back.


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