SPV mining has been curtailed somewhat to only apply for a brief period of time (based on public statements) since the last time SPV mining caused a fork. Indeed, if you can make other miners mine on top of an invalid block, you can make money by reducing the difficulty, but that is true as much today as during a fork. Still, I think you've made my point - someone has to take an active, malicious action in order to mine a bad block, vs with forced signaling, someone only needs to forget to reconfigure one out of one hundred pool servers they operate.

Matt

On 2/28/21 15:02, Jeremy wrote:
Miners still can generate invalid blocks as a result of SPV mining, and it could be profitable to do "bad block enhanced selfish mining" to take advantage of it.


Hard to analyze exactly what that looks like, but...

E.g., suppose 20% is un-upgraded and 80% is upgraded. Taking 25% hashrate to mine bad blocks would mean 1/4th of the time you could make 20% of the hashrate mine bad blocks, overall a > 5% (series expansion) benefit. One could analyze out that the lost hash rate for bad blocks only matters for the first difficulty adjustment period you're doing this for too, as the hashrate drop will be accounted for -- but then a miner can switch back to mining valid chain, giving themselves a larger % of hashrate.

So it is still possible that an un-upgraded miner will fail part 3, and attempting to accommodate un-upgraded miners leads to some nasty oscillating hashrate being optimal.


--
@JeremyRubin <https://twitter.com/JeremyRubin><https://twitter.com/JeremyRubin>


On Sun, Feb 28, 2021 at 11:52 AM Matt Corallo <lf-li...@mattcorallo.com 
<mailto:lf-li...@mattcorallo.com>> wrote:

    Note further that mandatory signaling isn't "just" a flag day - unlike a 
Taproot flag day (where miners running Bitcoin
    Core unmodified today will not generate invalid blocks), a mandatory 
signaling flag day blatantly ignores goal (3) from
    my original post - it results in any miner who has not taken active action 
(and ensured every part of their often-large
    infrastructure has been correctly reconfigured) generating invalid blocks.

    As for "Taproot" took too long, hey, at least if its locked in people can 
just build things assuming it exists. Some
    already are, but once its clearly locked in, there's no reason to not 
continue other work at the same time.

    Matt

    On 2/28/21 14:43, Jeremy via bitcoin-dev wrote:
     > I agree with much of the logic presented by Matt here.
     >
     > BIP8 was intended to be simpler to agree on to maintain consensus, yet 
we find ourselves in a situation where a
    "tiny"
     > parameter has the potential to cause great network disruption and 
confusion (rationality is not too useful a concept
     > here given differing levels of sophistication and information). It is 
therefore much simpler and more likely to be
     > universally understood by all network participants to just have a flag 
day. It is easier to communicate what users
     > should do and when.
     >
     > This is ultimately not coercive to users because the upgrade for Taproot 
itself is provable and analyzable on its
    own,
     > but activation parameters based on what % of economically relevant nodes 
are running an upgrade by a certain date
    are
     > not. Selecting these sorts of complicated consensus parameters may 
ultimately present more opportunity for a
    cooptable
     > consensus process than something more straightforward.
     >
     >
     > That said, a few points strike me as worth delving into.
     >
     >
     > 1) Con: Mandatory signalling is no different than a flag day. Mandatory 
signaling is effectively 2 flag days --
    one for
     > the signaling rule, 1 for the taproot type. The reason for the 2 week 
gap between flag day for signaling and flag
    day
     > for taproot rules is, more or less, so that nodes who aren't taproot 
ready at the 1st flag day do not end up SPV
    mining
     > (using standardness rules in mempool prevents them from mining an 
invalid block on top of a valid tip, but does not
     > ensure the tip is valid).
     > 2) Con: Releasing a flag day without releasing the LOT=true code leading 
up to that flag day means that clients
    would
     > not be fully compatible with an early activation that could be proposed 
before the flag day is reached. E.g.,
    LOT=true
     > is a flag day that retains the possibility of being compatible with 
other BIP8 releases without changing software.
     > 3) Pro: BIP-8 is partially in service of "early activation" and . I'm 
personally skeptical that early activation
    is/was
     > ever a good idea. A fixed activation date may be largely superior for 
business purposes, software engineering
    schedules,
     > etc. I think even with signaling BIP8, it would be possibly superior to 
activate rules at a fixed date (or a
    quantized
     > set of fixed dates, e.g. guaranteeing at least 3 months but maybe more).
     > 4) Pro: part of the argument for BIP-8=false is that it is possible that 
the rule could not activate, if
    signaling does
     > not occur, providing additional stopgap against dev collusion and bugs. 
But BIP-8 can activate immediately (with
    start
     > times being proposed 1 month after release?) so we don't have certainty 
around how much time there is for that
    secondary
     > review process (read -- I think it isn't that valuable) and if there 
*is* a deadly bug discovered, we might want to
     > hard-fork to fix it even if it isn't yet signaled for (e.g., if the rule 
activates it enables more mining
    reward). So I
     > think that it's a healthier mindset to release a with definite deadline 
and not rule out having to do a hard fork if
     > there is a grave issue (we shouldn't ever release a SF if we think this 
is at all likely, mind you).
     > 5) Con: It's already taken so long for taproot, the schedule around 
taproot was based on the idea it could early
     > activate, 2022 is now too far away. I don't know how to defray this 
other than, if your preferred idea is 1 year
    flag
     > day, to do that via LOT=true so that taproot can still have early 
activation if desired.
     >
     > Overall I agree with the point that all the contention around LOT, makes 
a flag day look not so bad. And something
     > closer to a flag day might not be so bad either for future forks as well.
     >
     > However, I think given the appetite for early activation, if a flag day 
is desired I think LOT=true is the best
    option
     > at this time as it allows our flag day to remain compatible with such an 
early activation.
     >
     > I think we can also clearly communicate that LOT=true for Taproot is not 
a precedent setting occurence for any
    future
     > forks (hold me accountable to not using this as precedent this should I 
ever advocate for a SF with similar release
     > parameters).
     >
     >
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