How do you use the algorithmic information criteria to choose between
social theories with the same number of bits, like "poverty causes crime"
and "crime causes poverty"? I can use the correlation in the distribution
P(crime, poverty) from your LaboratoryOfTheCounties benchmark to improve
compression. But to show which causes which, I would also need P(crime) and
P(poverty). You can only get that using controlled experiments, like the
one in Sweden where they found that lottery winners didn't commit fewer
crimes.

Also, what are you saying about sex? The population is collapsing because
of birth control, the right to use it, and that most people don't care what
happens after they die. AI will make this worse by isolating people, but
this started even before the internet.

Sex evolved because you can write DNA code faster with random cuts and
pastes than just random bit flips. Reproductive behavior is complex because
it is our most important function. Humans are the only mammals that don't
go into heat or that use nudity for sexual signaling, and the only mammals
besides prairie voles that fall in love. All of this evolved after we split
from chimpanzees 6 million years ago. But male aggression evolved before
that. 95% of both homicides and chimpisides are committed by males.

Government programs intended to encourage reproduction aren't working. I
suppose we could develop the technology to produce babies in factories, but
what would be the point? If people wanted children, robots would be easier
to care for. We will either evolve to reject technology or create the
species that replaces us.


On Sat, Jun 8, 2024, 4:24 PM James Bowery <jabow...@gmail.com> wrote:

>
>
> On Fri, Jun 7, 2024 at 8:51 PM Matt Mahoney <mattmahone...@gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> ...
>> Evolution selects for cultures that reject technology and women's rights.
>> I disagree, but I will also die without offspring.
>>
>
> Evolution selects for sex, and sex selects for women's rights *and* for
> technology, but since "we" *have no word for sex* it is difficult to
> discuss what evolution selects for.
>
> "We" have no word for sex because the word "we" designates an asexual
> group organism that finds sex threatening to its integrity.  So it
> suppresses sex.  This is related to why "queens" parasitically castrate
> their offspring in eusocial species.
>
> So.... what *is* sex, that we are not to even *talk* about it?
>
> The evolutionary platform that gave rise to the Cambrian Explosion was not
> fully formed until individual  vs individual masculine aggression arose as
> the individual organism's counterbalancing choice to the individual
> feminine choice of nurturance.  *That* is sex and *that* is why eusocial
> organisms castrate offspring to produce sterile workers specialized as are
> the various asexual cells that make up specialised organ tissues.
>
> And now we're seeing the loss of life's meaning throughout technological
> civilization as total fertility rates plummet to suicidal levels.  Everyone
> has their go-to cope "explanation" for this suicidal trend, but no one
> wants to reform the social pseudosciences with the Algorithmic Information
> Criterion for causal model selection -- and for the same reason that they
> don't want to recognize that they owe their very nervous systems to sex.
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