Hi. I am giving a talk on machine intelligence next week.
I have a slide about "generality" and I have an associated
question that I thought I would try running by you guys.

My question is basically: what do you think of this
presentation, and how can I improve on it? The
presentation goes something like this:

My slides refer to definitions of intelligence, that say
that it is "general" and then mention that the "no free lunch"
theorems of Wolpert and Macready from 1997 say that no
algorithm performs better than any other on arbitrary
search problems - and so an intelligent agent can't really
be "general" in this way.

I then argue that some kinds of assumption about the space
of problems likely to be faced are actually quite reasonable
and acceptable. I then list some of these assumptions:

One is "the uniformity of nature". Physics appears to be
fairly uniform in space and time. The uniformity of nature
allows induction to work. It means that the past is relevant
to the future. It means that experiences in one place are
relevant in other places and that experiences at one time
are also relevant later.

Matter in the universe also exhibits a fair amount of
regularity, due to repulsive forces, and the common,
diluting forces of radiation, diffusion, turbulence
and entropy increase. These make concentrations of
matter tend to spread out. That is especially true
far from deep gravity wells (where attractive forces
dominate). That happens to be where most living systems
find themselves. These effects compound the
"uniformity of nature" effect.

Another is Occam's razor. Occam's razor says that simpler
hypotheses that are compatible with observations should be
preferred. Occam's razor has subsequently been generalized
to include a measure of time complexity.

Another involves nature's preference for simplicity. One
cause of this is locality. Physics is local (quantum mechanics
notwithstanding). Locality imposes limits on the complexity of
observed sequences, and it means that sequences with simpler
generators are actually more likely to be observed. In three
dimensional space, radiation and diffusion make distant
effects less relevant. Again, these factors lead to simpler
sequences being more likely to be observed.

I then say other types of assumption associated with the
laws of physics, regularity of the universe's contents,
or the special place of living systems in the universe
could also be possible.

Lastly, I argue that these assumptions could be mistaken.
Probably the most important example where this could happen
is if your environment is being controlled by an adversary.
They could then manipulate things so that your assumptions
are systematically mistaken.
--
__________
 |im |yler http://timtyler.org/

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