Case positivity is an invalid number, look at hospitalization rates, it's the only number that isnt affected by external skews
On Sat, Mar 20, 2021, 11:37 AM Bill Prince <[email protected]> wrote: > I would not assume it's linear. There are too many overlapping and/or > conflicting variables to deal with. Plus you have the added complication of > a 2-3 week delay between first infection and when (if) symptoms appear. > > I would be paying attention to your local case positivity rate. Our county > (San Mateo) just went from the red tier to the orange tier based partly on > the case posivity rate getting below 1% and that there have been zero > deaths for several weeks. > > In another 2 weeks, if the case rate stays low (or lower), we will move up > to the yellow tier. > > > bp > <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com> > > On 3/20/2021 9:16 AM, Chuck McCown via AF wrote: > > 30 days ago, Utah’s average daily new case rate was 831, yesterday 471, > difference 360. > ASSUMING it is linear, in 30 days we will be at 111. And zero 12 days > later... > > Man, this is starting to look like a capacitor discharge curve... Someone > needs to just short it out. > > -- > AF mailing list > [email protected] > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com >
-- AF mailing list [email protected] http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
