SARS patients got very sick very fast. Symptoms appeared before peak of contagiousness, and there weren’t the asymptomatic spreaders like we see with COVID-19. It was easy to identify infected people and quarantine them before they became highly contagious.
Diseases can be too aggressive for their own good. You don’t want to kill your host (or make them identifiably sick so they quarantine) before you infect lots of others. From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Steve Jones Sent: Wednesday, November 25, 2020 10:27 AM To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Ot: covid tracing lol. wheres the sars 1 annual vaccine? the h1n1 annual vaccine? annual spanish flu vaccine? annual Justinian Plague vaccine? Im not sure why the "scientists" went full political pundit on this "new norm" but there is no indicator this wont be like almost every novel virus in the past and when its starved it will go away. Literally no science backing the statements that it is a new permanent virus, more historic actual science based evidence that this is a one and done that may see a resurgence at some point, but thats it. the actual non pundit epidemiologists have said like most new viral variants this will have a 3 "season" lifespan, likely 4 thanks to mitigation. we are in the 2nd round, hitting the numbers they anticipated. without the vaccine to expedite, we will see a spring/summer decline with a 2021 resurgence in the fall of lower magnitude than this fall/winter. Had we not mitigated and delayed the natural progression that would be the last major resurgence, but it would likely see a notable 2022 bump. I like listening to actual scientists speak, not televangelists on network tv. its odd how spanish flu isnt killing everybody without an annual vaccine On Wed, Nov 25, 2020 at 9:56 AM Ken Hohhof <af...@kwisp.com <mailto:af...@kwisp.com> > wrote: They no longer vaccinate against smallpox because it was eradicated. The immunity from smallpox vaccine lasted years, but it was thought to decline over time. With a covid vaccine, don’t expect the disease to be eradicated, and chances are we’ll need to get vaccinated again every year. The antivaxxers are already responsible for a measles resurgence. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science/how-bad-is-the-measles-comeback-heres-70-years-of-data If we just barely get enough people vaccinated in 2021 to control the pandemic, and then people don’t continue to get vaccinated every year, we’ll be dealing with this at some level for a long time maybe forever. From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com <mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com> > On Behalf Of Steve Jones Sent: Wednesday, November 25, 2020 9:29 AM To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com> > Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Ot: covid tracing did they have karens back then that said they didnt want it cause it was the "mark of the beast" ? I think for shits and giggles they should have these vaccines leave a mark, just for the memes. last "poll" I saw said we are at 56 percent willing to get it. that combined with the recovered immunities will get us to herd rate by february On Wed, Nov 25, 2020 at 9:18 AM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com <mailto:part15...@gmail.com> > wrote: What I recall was them putting a dab of the vaccine on your skin (after sterilizing the area), then poking the area with a pin several times. They covered it with a bandaid, a scab formed, and a week later the scab fell off leaving a small scar. I don't think I have the scar any longer, or it's so faint as to be not noticeable. -- bp part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com On Wed, Nov 25, 2020 at 6:40 AM Ken Hohhof <af...@kwisp.com <mailto:af...@kwisp.com> > wrote: That may be right. It wasn’t an injection, more like put something on the skin and then scratched or did something to break the skin. I believe the smallpox vaccine was live virus. From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com <mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com> > On Behalf Of Chuck McCown via AF Sent: Wednesday, November 25, 2020 5:15 AM To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com> > Cc: Chuck McCown <ch...@go-mtc.com <mailto:ch...@go-mtc.com> > Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Ot: covid tracing Seems to me they scratched me a bunch rather than poked me. At least for one of them it felt like scratching. Haven’t looked for the scar in years. Wonder if it is still visible. Sent from my iPhone On Nov 24, 2020, at 3:00 PM, Ken Hohhof <af...@kwisp.com <mailto:af...@kwisp.com> > wrote: I, along with many people my age, have a coin sized scar on my upper arm from a smallpox vaccination as a kid. They jabbed you multiple times with a needle, then you got a blister that turned into a scab that eventually fell off and left a scar. People today are wusses. Wow, I might feel a little off for a day or two if I get this vaccine, I think I’ll skip it and maybe die. Or rely on everyone around me to get vaccinated and create “herd immunity”. But you’re probably right. That plus the anti-vaxxers, if only 50% of people get the vaccine (including the second shot) it’s going to keep circulating. From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com <mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com> > On Behalf Of Robert Sent: Tuesday, November 24, 2020 2:47 PM To: af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Ot: covid tracing This will be a real issue for these vaccines.. https://gvwire.com/2020/11/23/doctors-say-side-effects-from-covid-vaccine-shots-wont-be-a-walk-in-the-park/ On 11/24/20 7:59 AM, Ken Hohhof wrote: I read an article* saying some in China who need a certificate to travel or work get both shots at the same time, one in each arm. Sure, why not. We don’t need it to actually work, do we? *add skepticism to taste From: AF <mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com> <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Bill Prince Sent: Tuesday, November 24, 2020 9:43 AM To: af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com> Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Ot: covid tracing All the vaccines so far require 2 doses to become effective, and the numbers I heard were more like 20 million per vaccine, so that's 60 million divided by 2, so 30 million. And that is going to mainly go to healthcare workers and high risk. I don't expect things to turn around until March or so, and that's only if a lot of people get vaccinated. The next vaccine in the barrel is the Johnson&Johnson one, and that's supposed to be a single dose. bp <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com> On 11/24/2020 7:10 AM, Steve Jones wrote: With the three vaccines ready to roll out 90 million inoculations in the US this year it may be moot because kit production probably wont be able to meet demand before we have herd vaccination in 2.5 months. But these new home test kits, assuming there is any reliability to them, would have been the ideal pairing with tracing. Testing is still being handled poorly on the local level. Our health department took a ton of money from the feds for testing, but the drive through they set up only has like a 25 test a day capacity, what a joke that is, will be interesting to see who all goes to jail here. CVS has drop off testing, but you have to do it through the website, and its aweful, my mom couldn't get hers because she has the wrong color Medicare card, whatever the hell that means. The wait at the big test center is 4 to 6 hours. Not complaining about that one, they do massive volume because of all the jackleggery everywhere else. Our hospital and many of the clinics have rapid tests but opt not to use them, instead ship them off. Lots and lots of prison sentences in the near future. The good thing about this, is unlike the swine flu utter disaster, we built out a very robust pandemic response system in a short period of time. This will be the model future pandemics are managed by after the post mortem. As long as the grifters spend decades in prison, the next time the systems will actually be utilized properly, it will be election proof On Tue, Nov 24, 2020, 8:34 AM Ken Hohhof <af...@kwisp.com <mailto:af...@kwisp.com> > wrote: They should stop talking about contact tracing as if it's working, it only works if you have orders of magnitude less cases than we have now. There is the containment phase, mitigation phase, then who let the dogs out. Guess which phase we're in. At this point, contact tracing is pretty useless, even testing is of questionable use. About all you can do if you test positive is self-isolate and tell your friends, family and coworkers. Even testing is questionable, mostly the people getting tested already suspect they have it. Steve is right that the states didn't ramp up contact tracing fast enough or successfully, but given the poor cooperation they got from people, I'm not sure how much it would have helped. Now about all they can do is tell people to isolate and tell their contacts. Thank you Capt. Obvious. And like Steve says, the lag time makes even that pretty useless. If we were New Zealand, contact tracing would be great. Or alternatively, a compliant surveillance society like China. -----Original Message----- From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com <mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com> > On Behalf Of Matt Hoppes Sent: Tuesday, November 24, 2020 2:44 AM To: AnimalFarm Microwave Users Group <af@af.afmug.com <mailto:af@af.afmug.com> > Subject: Re: [AFMUG] Ot: covid tracing Don’t be too relaxed with it. I have a friend who just collapsed in church on Sunday from Covid. Just singing along and his heart stopped. Perfectly healthy, outside active guy. They gave him CPR and last I knew he’s still alive in the hospital. He was a staunch anti masker. This is a very serious disease and needs to be treated as such. > On Nov 24, 2020, at 12:54 AM, Steve Jones <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com > <mailto:thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> > wrote: > > > What a let down this was. Turns out tracing is a joke. First off, they dont > even make contact with the positive test for 3 to 5 days even though the > money was for within 24 hours. So it essentially pointless as far as stopping > the spread. > They dont ask for much detail, so thes "x infections traced back to Y event" > are pretty much fictitious. I thought it was maybe local to us, nope pretty > much the same way across the board. > We had 8 sick, three positive tests, and only one was actually traced. 6 the > seven of us were contacts, the two other positives werent marked different. > We are almost a week past the quarantine/isolation and still getting the > texts. > > The point is, yet again in this, the feds provided a massive amount of money > and guidance, actually bipartisan, and the states fucked it up. I'm in > illinois, so I'm guessing out of every tracing dollar 25 cents when in our > fat emperor, erm governors pocket, and another 25 cents went in speaker > Madigan criminal defense fund. 50 cents went to the tracers, but they > probably have to kick 30 percent back in taxes. > > My kids are remote so it's not relevant, but they havent recieved the dept > public health release yet, so I figure the boy wont be able to do his drive > time friday for drivers ed. > > What a joke. > > Luckily this isnt the death plague they told us it was. Takes a lot to die of > it now and our state numbers are going back down now that the election > celebration infections are subsiding. > > Had the states done what they were supposed to, infected people would have > known 3 to 4 days earlier, and the percent that would quarantine would have. > This is our 3rd verified exposure, first actual contact tracing, the other > two I know for a fact listed us as contacts. > > When this is over and the FOIAs start, I'm hoping a lot of state and dept of > health officials spend a ton of time in prison. I'm betting there are a ton > of phones that were "lost" or smashed with hammers when the investigations > start after. Theres a ruthless watchdog group I had to deal with once, > actually forced a multi county health department to split, only got one > person for embezzlement though. But they know the FOIA game well enough that > the health department had to have constant deliveries of pallets of paper. > There were a lot of "early retirements" > > > -- > AF mailing list > AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> > http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com -- AF mailing list AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
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