If it's not tilted, that sounds like a squirrel and bird platform.

-----Original Message-----
From: AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> On Behalf Of Robert Andrews
Sent: Wednesday, July 15, 2020 5:18 PM
To: af@af.afmug.com
Subject: Re: [AFMUG] OT: Details on the Starlink router

What I noticed is the flat surface of the "UFO"..  Gonna get some snow on that 
without a heater...

On 07/15/2020 12:00 PM, Ken Hohhof wrote:
> So are they looking at it from the mobile wireless perspective, where 
> speeds are aspirational, “up to”, or “on a good day”?  Or from the 
> home Internet perspective, where people run speedtests and bitch if 
> they don’t get what they’re paying for?
> 
> Who has ever gotten a refund or cancelled a 12 month contract on a 
> cellphone because the speed didn’t match the marketing?
> 
> And of course with any new service, whether it’s satellite or 5G, the 
> early adopters will probably get fantastic speeds because there’s 
> nobody else on the network.  Let’s face it, WISPs do this too.  Who 
> hasn’t had a new WISP pop up in your area advertising speeds that 
> sound like every subscriber gets the full capacity of the AP at max 
> modulation.  And how many reviews do you see that say the WISP was 
> fast at first and then the speeds just got slower and slower.
> 
> *From:* AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com> *On Behalf Of *Adam Moffett
> *Sent:* Wednesday, July 15, 2020 1:42 PM
> *To:* af@af.afmug.com
> *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT: Details on the Starlink router
> 
> The FCC allowed them 2Ghz of bandwidth for the satellite to user 
> terminal.  20Gbps must assume 10 bits/hz.  Or maybe they mean a 
> different sense of "capacity".  The journalistic sources are never 
> precise about these things.
> 
> I've been assuming that just like any other wireless you can't put the 
> same channel into the exact same location at the same time, or else 
> they would interfere.  So they might simplify and say "20 Gbps per 
> satellite", but I think it's really going to be "20Gbps for a given 
> geographic area".  I don't know how big that area will be, but the 
> smaller the satellite is, the smaller the antenna has to be, and then 
> of course the wider the beam is.  I imagine each satellite won't use 
> the full 2ghz, but maybe dozens of satellites over a certain area will 
> each use their own non-interfering chunk.
> 
> ....I'll freely admit that I'm filling in blanks left by the articles 
> I've seen.  Maybe there are additional details to explain how they're 
> solving these problems, but I suspect the 20Gb per satellite is not 
> going to be meaningful.  It'll be 20Gb total for a region of some size.
> 
> On 7/15/2020 1:32 PM, Colin Stanners wrote:
> 
>     Doing some math:
> 
>     40K subscribers on 60 satellites is 666 subs/satellite if equally
>     loaded. But load is far from equal, the planet surface is 70% water.
>     I don't know how much the "standard" orbit is over water but let's
>     say 50% as it's further from the poles. Say that at any point in
>     time, around half the satellites will be barely useful (except for
>     cruise ships, and overseas aircraft service) due to being over water
>     and ground obstructions.
> 
>     So a more accurate number is 1300 subs/well-positioned satellite,
>     assuming for simplicity that subs are equally physically spread out.
> 
>     The numbers that I saw state that every satellite has 20Gbps
>     capacity, let's assume that that is downlink subscriber capacity at
>     maximum modulation, and that the backhaul to the ground station is
>     fully available to that satellite and also 20Gbps at max modulation.
>     20Gbps / 1300 subs is 15mbit per sub, assuming that everyone's using
>     it simultaneously.
> 
>     But there are the issues with wireless in general, added to those
>     about customer self-installs (shudder), and satellite service:
>     mainly subs having trees or obstructions in the way, blocking or
>     reducing LoS to at least part of the sky where their hand-off
>     satellite should be, and rain. I'd say that altogether that a more
>     realistic number with those is 8-12mbit per user.
> 
>     Being generous, 12Mbit average per sub: not bad these days,
>     considering the traffic patterns at peak time (1/3rd subscribers
>     using Netflix / D+ / etc with 1-3 streams at HD or 4K) I'd assume
>     that from that they could sell mostly 30-70mbit download speed plans
>     without too much consternation. But as traffic keeps increasing,
>     over time they may run out of capacity for the higher plans and
>     decide to reduce.
> 
>     On Wed, Jul 15, 2020 at 11:58 AM Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com
>     <mailto:part15...@gmail.com>> wrote:
> 
>         There are some details in this story that were new to me. One of
>         the
>         ones that popped up was that each group of 60 Starlink
>         satellites is
>         expected to support ~~ 40,000 subscribers.
> 
>         That puts the 800 satellite "moderate service level" at
>         supporting about
>         half a million subscribers (~~ 533,000).
> 
>         In order to support a million subscribers, they will need about
>         1500
>         satellites.
> 
>         
> https://www.tesmanian.com/blogs/tesmanian-blog/starlink-router-fcc?_po
> s=19&_sid=a6c7fff07&_ss=r
> 
>         --
> 
>         bp
>         <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
> 
> 
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> 
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