Title: Re: [AFMUG] [WISPA] COVID-19 and WISPAmerica
Sean,
But we already took the path of Italy? What have we really done since the first case? People aren't honoring quarantine. Just got a message from the local school board. If anyone in the family goes on a cruise over spring break (kids or teachers), don't bother coming to school for 14 days. Do you really think those people are going to sit at home for 14 days and watch netflix. No way they will be at universal, Busch Gardens, Disney, etc. They are just going to treat it as an extra 2 weeks of spring break.
This will be abused greatly. I think most companies are going to be pressured to pay employees that have to go in quarantine. Once that happens everyone in the country will start taking their new found 14 day vacation. Need a doctors note, just call Dr. Nick (Simpsons Reference) and he'll write you a note.
Don't get me wrong we should be concerned about this. We should be taking reasonable precautions. But kicking students out of their dorms rooms with 5 days of notice is a bit extreme.
Once this clears, I would love to see a study done on Italy. They are just off the charts. It just blew up over there. It was like a perfect storm. It came in so fast and hard, I don't think there was any reasonable way for them to slow it down.
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Best regards,
Mark mailto:m...@mailmt.com
Myakka Technologies, Inc.
www.Myakka.com
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Wednesday, March 11, 2020, 5:48:28 PM, you wrote:
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Mark,
If we take the oath of China and Germany (testing, quarantine and social distancing) then we won’t look like Italy. But if we stay on our current path we will look like Italy or even Iran.
-Sean
On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 3:46 PM Mark - Myakka Technologies <m...@mailmt.com> wrote:
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Why must we assume Italy is going to be then normal. This virus is in or has been in 121 countries. Several of those countries have had it before Italy has had its first. By far Italy on a percentage basis is the worst case. I don't think it is fair to declare everyone one is going to end up like Italy. Why is Italy so bad? Could it be the weather? Could it be something genetic in their DNA? Could it be the large amount of tourist moving though the country? Could it be the locals do more cash transactions than other countries? Could it be they almost french kiss each other with every hello or good bye? Many, many, many factors. But just to assume everyone is going to turn out like Italy is just part of the fear mongering.
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Best regards,
Mark mailto:m...@mailmt.com
Myakka Technologies, Inc.
www.Myakka.com
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Wednesday, March 11, 2020, 4:28:30 PM, you wrote:
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It seems to me that the number of deaths and critical cases is a lot more meaningful than the total reported cases... all that really tells you is that lots of people were or weren't tested in a particular country. I don't have any idea what's actually going on in Italy as far as testing, buy judging by the number of deaths and critical cases, I'd guess that they've tested far fewer people that other countries where it's widespread and the death rate is much lower.
On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 3:24 PM Steve Jones <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com> wrote:
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this really is the only graph that matters if youre picking just 1
![]()
On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 3:18 PM Sean Heskett <af...@zirkel.us> wrote:
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EbyPW8lJX2E
On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 1:29 PM Sean Heskett <af...@zirkel.us> wrote:
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Yup great site josh! We are about 9 days behind Italy.
The cases grow exponentially every day and what will happen is our hospitals have no surge capacity. 20% of the people who get it will need ICU level of care. There isn’t capacity for that unless we flatten the curve. The same number of people will probably get the virus, the difference will be that our health care system can handle the load if it is stretched over time.
Social distancing is the only way to flatten the curve.
Thanks for sharing!
-Sean
On Wed, Mar 11, 2020 at 1:09 PM Josh Luthman via Wireless <wirel...@wispa.org> wrote:
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